NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	93		Excitement	5.9 [676]		MVP	Morris Peterson (TOR): +34.1%
Toronto Raptors	104		Comeback	1.4 [1015]		LVP	Al Jefferson (BOS): -14.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	-0.01	-0.03	17	56%	0.08	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Mark Blount	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Kendrick Perkins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.04	0.00	15	62%	0.05	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	8	44%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jiri Welsch	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	4	38%	-0.04	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Marcus Banks	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	9	25%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Payton	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	9	22%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	6	12%	-0.11	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.25	0.07	-0.02	22	74%	0.34	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	5	70%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	80%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	13	59%	0.02	1	-0.03	18	78%	0.00
Loren Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	7	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rafael Araujo	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.00	-0.00	10	45%	0.01	6	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	29.1	15.4	30.4	2.3	27.6	132.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +53.8%

TOR +5.4%

BOS -1.6%

BOS -11.4%

TOR +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	TOR	NBA	BOS	TOR	NBA
this game	13.3	16.7	15.5	96.9	108.3	104.0
season	14.4	15.1		104.7	104.8
opponent	15.4	16.0		106.8	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.2	13.5	13.7	11.7	13.3
TOR	15.8	15.3	15.7	20.1	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jiri Welsch	60	58	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-12	13	12.0	15.5	-3.47	16.1	17.5	-1.34
Kendrick Perkins	8	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-11	11	13.4	13.3	0.05	14.6	16.9	-2.33
Marcus Banks	31	30	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.10	0	-11	11	13.6	13.2	0.37	15.5	17.2	-1.65
Al Jefferson	21	20	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	-5	-1	15.6	12.7	2.86	15.5	17.0	-1.41
Tony Allen	16	15	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-7	3	15.2	12.9	2.30	11.9	17.5	-5.61
Walter McCarty	41	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-12	13	12.8	13.7	-0.92	16.6	16.7	-0.14
Mark Blount	57	59	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.13	-4	-7	3	12.6	14.4	-1.73	16.9	16.3	0.60
Paul Pierce	78	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-5	-1	13.5	12.8	0.68	17.4	13.4	4.03
Raef LaFrentz	42	42	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	3	-17	14.1	12.7	1.40	18.1	15.5	2.62
Gary Payton	65	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.08	-11	0	-11	13.2	13.6	-0.37	17.2	15.5	1.65
Ricky Davis	61	62	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.14	-12	1	-13	13.6	12.8	0.84	16.9	16.3	0.53

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Morris Peterson	88	88	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.13	14	-3	17	16.8	15.5	1.27	13.4	12.1	1.32
Chris Bosh	83	82	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.17	10	1	9	17.1	13.6	3.53	13.5	12.3	1.23
Rafer Alston	66	67	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.09	8	3	5	17.6	14.6	3.05	13.3	13.4	-0.16
Eric Williams	58	57	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.04	8	3	5	16.7	16.6	0.10	14.0	12.4	1.55
Donyell Marshall	35	36	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.00	8	3	5	14.4	18.0	-3.57	15.3	12.1	3.16
Matt Bonner	40	41	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.10	3	8	-5	17.0	16.4	0.53	11.9	14.4	-2.58
Milt Palacio	30	29	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.09	3	8	-5	14.6	17.6	-3.05	13.4	13.3	0.16
Loren Woods	10	9	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.02	5	6	-1	16.9	16.6	0.26	14.3	13.2	1.10
Jalen Rose	27	28	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	11	-11	16.7	16.7	0.05	12.8	13.5	-0.72
Lamond Murray	19	19	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	11	-11	16.0	16.8	-0.83	11.7	13.7	-2.06
Rafael Araujo	24	24	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	15	-19	17.7	16.3	1.39	11.9	13.8	-1.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.81,0.87,0.8,0.89,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.81,0.91,0.86,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 94, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.82,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.88,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1	95.0%
PHI 69, CHI 77	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.6%
PHX 102, LAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.6%