NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	69		Excitement	4.7 [701]		MVP	Luol Deng (CHI): +4.4%
Chicago Bulls	77		Comeback	1.6 [699]		LVP	Evan Turner (PHI): -14.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05
Spencer Hawes	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	9	48%	-0.00	3	-0.04	5	60%	-0.03
Thaddeus Young	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Louis Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.03	0.04	10	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	6	83%	-0.01
Elton Brand	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	6	36%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1	-0.14	-0.01	-0.04	19	27%	-0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.02	0.07	17	41%	-0.09	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	7	29%	-0.05	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	0.00	0.05	19	63%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.10	0.03	-0.06	20	45%	0.11	5	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	7	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	40%	0.01	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	9	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	42%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.17	-0.00	-0.10	10	21%	-0.02	3	-0.05	4	25%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.7	33.2	15.7	27.2	3.4	35.6	143.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +52.6%

PHI -6.6%

CHI +2.0%

CHI +0.3%

CHI +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHI	NBA	PHI	CHI	NBA
this game	14.0	16.9	15.6	74.2	82.8	102.8
season	15.6	16.0		101.0	104.7
opponent	15.9	16.1		97.0	97.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.6	17.6	12.9	11.3	14.0
CHI	16.1	14.4	18.4	18.7	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jodie Meeks	4	2	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-6	4	7.5	14.3	-6.84	24.0	16.8	7.23
Lavoy Allen	26	25	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-7	6	13.0	14.5	-1.50	17.6	16.7	0.92
Thaddeus Young	27	24	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	-1	-6	14.9	13.7	1.14	17.3	16.8	0.55
Elton Brand	62	63	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.28	1	-9	10	13.8	14.5	-0.61	17.0	16.7	0.33
Louis Williams	48	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	1	-10	14.0	14.0	-0.00	16.3	17.5	-1.18
Jrue Holiday	81	84	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-7	6	14.2	12.9	1.29	17.1	15.1	2.01
Evan Turner	65	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.11	-10	2	-12	14.6	12.9	1.70	16.4	18.2	-1.85
Andre Iguodala	84	84	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.31	-4	-4	0	13.5	18.8	-5.24	17.2	14.8	2.38
Spencer Hawes	68	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.25	-7	-1	-6	14.6	12.4	2.25	16.6	17.8	-1.17

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Brewer	58	55	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-4	16	17.2	16.5	0.70	14.0	14.1	-0.02
Luol Deng	83	83	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.21	7	1	6	17.3	14.2	3.05	13.5	18.4	-4.88
Carlos Boozer	82	82	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	6	-4	17.3	14.1	3.21	13.7	16.7	-3.04
Taj Gibson	50	50	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.11	7	1	6	15.9	18.1	-2.22	14.3	13.8	0.47
Omer Asik	52	51	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.15	5	3	2	17.6	16.1	1.52	14.8	13.1	1.77
John Lucas III	32	31	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.07	7	1	6	17.0	16.9	0.07	14.6	13.8	0.85
CJ Watson	63	65	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.19	3	5	-2	16.7	17.5	-0.80	13.4	15.5	-2.03
Kyle Korver	11	13	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.04	3	5	-2	13.1	17.4	-4.35	15.0	13.9	1.11
Richard Hamilton	34	35	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.07	-6	14	-20	16.9	16.9	-0.02	14.9	13.5	1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 92, CHA 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
POR 85, CHA 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.49,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.75,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.83,0.8,0.85,0.78,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
CHI 97, PHX 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.84,0.83,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%