NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	92		Excitement	4.2 [993]		MVP	Boris Diaw (CHA): +5.2%
Charlotte Bobcats	102		Comeback	1.6 [753]		LVP	Charlie Villanueva (MIL): -15.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	12	59%	0.06	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.03
Charlie Bell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.01	0.04	8	65%	0.03	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Alexander	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	4	80%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dan Gadzuric	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Redd	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	14	47%	-0.01	2	-0.03	8	50%	-0.02
Tyronn Lue	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	9	60%	0.04	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Villanueva	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.03	0.04	6	36%	-0.08	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.02	11	81%	0.19	5	-0.13	4	75%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	8	57%	0.05	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Adam Morrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	6	36%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	8	64%	0.08	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.04	17	55%	0.03	1	-0.01	10	90%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Alexis Ajinca	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	8	58%	0.04	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	8	41%	0.01	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	1.6	34.3	15.5	24.9	2.8	35.2	140.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +29.8%

CHA +8.5%

CHA +3.2%

CHA +4.0%

CHA +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHA	NBA	MIL	CHA	NBA
this game	14.9	17.1	15.5	103.4	112.1	106.4
season	15.0	16.5		104.9	103.0
opponent	15.6	15.6		104.5	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.6	14.0	16.2	13.9	14.9
CHA	18.7	14.7	15.8	19.7	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Alexander	18	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.24	8	-18	26	12.9	15.4	-2.48	18.5	16.7	1.81
Ramon Sessions	22	21	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-13	16	13.9	15.3	-1.34	19.7	16.3	3.46
Francisco Elson	16	18	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-7	4	16.0	14.7	1.32	16.1	17.3	-1.25
Charlie Villanueva	32	34	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.17	1	-11	12	15.7	14.5	1.20	17.7	16.7	0.99
Luc Mbah a Moute	34	36	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-5	0	14.3	15.3	-1.06	17.0	17.1	-0.09
Tyronn Lue	37	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.33	3	-13	16	15.0	14.9	0.09	17.7	16.6	1.13
Luke Ridnour	55	55	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	-3	-4	14.9	15.0	-0.13	16.6	17.7	-1.06
Dan Gadzuric	54	55	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	2	-14	14.9	14.9	0.06	16.7	17.6	-0.92
Charlie Bell	50	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19	-5	-5	0	14.9	14.9	0.04	17.2	16.9	0.23
Michael Redd	61	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.10	-16	6	-22	15.6	13.4	2.28	17.2	16.8	0.39
Richard Jefferson	66	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	7	-24	14.8	15.2	-0.40	15.9	20.4	-4.46

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D.J. Augustin	57	54	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.24	11	-1	12	16.2	18.6	-2.40	15.3	14.4	0.86
Boris Diaw	67	68	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.02	15	-5	20	17.3	16.2	1.09	15.4	13.5	1.83
Emeka Okafor	59	58	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.04	14	-4	18	16.0	19.0	-3.05	14.9	15.0	-0.12
Gerald Wallace	69	70	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.02	15	-5	20	17.3	16.1	1.21	15.6	12.6	2.98
Raymond Felton	80	79	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.09	10	0	10	17.1	17.0	0.06	14.6	17.3	-2.68
Adam Morrison	29	27	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.15	-2	12	-14	17.1	17.0	0.07	13.1	15.7	-2.60
Juwan Howard	29	27	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	12	-14	16.8	17.2	-0.43	14.3	15.2	-0.95
Matt Carroll	48	49	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.28	-8	18	-26	17.9	16.2	1.69	14.3	15.7	-1.41
Nazr Mohammed	9	8	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	9	-8	20.0	16.7	3.27	18.5	14.6	3.93
Shannon Brown	5	3	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	10	-10	20.6	16.8	3.75	17.0	14.8	2.15
Alexis Ajinca	3	2	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	14	-18	16.7	17.1	-0.40	13.5	15.0	-1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 107, CHA 112	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,1	96.6%
BOS 75, NJN 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.78,0.77,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
CHI 82, BOS 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%