NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	75		Excitement	4.5 [891]		MVP	Jason Collins (NJN): +8.9%
New Jersey Nets	90		Comeback	1.5 [918]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -28.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	8	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Bimbo Coles	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.03	11	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Bremer	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	10	59%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.12	0.00	-0.08	19	48%	0.06	5	-0.09	8	75%	0.03
Tony Battie	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	4	10%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Antoine Walker	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.22,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.27	-0.04	-0.02	15	28%	-0.15	6	-0.13	6	67%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	5	83%	0.11	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.01	0.06	16	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	9	53%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tamar Slay	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donny Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	13	50%	0.00	3	-0.06	8	62%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	10	42%	-0.03	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	-0.05	11	48%	0.02	6	-0.10	5	60%	-0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.15	-0.00	-0.04	8	0%	-0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	3.4	34.5	20.4	27.4	3.8	27.6	142.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +18.5%

NJN +7.2%

NJN +14.4%

NJN +8.4%

NJN +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NJN	NBA	BOS	NJN	NBA
this game	15.8	15.1	15.5	79.8	97.8	101.6
season	15.6	15.0		99.3	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.5		96.1	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.9	15.2	15.8	17.8	15.8
NJN	14.5	11.9	18.6	16.5	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bimbo Coles	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-17	19	24.0	15.5	8.52	20.3	14.9	5.39
Kedrick Brown	9	7	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-15	15	19.6	15.4	4.11	17.3	14.9	2.34
Tony Battie	28	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-11	7	14.8	16.3	-1.45	17.3	14.1	3.25
Grant Long	26	25	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-10	5	16.8	15.5	1.39	15.6	15.0	0.60
Mark Blount	44	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-10	5	16.5	15.3	1.20	13.9	16.2	-2.28
Paul Pierce	76	75	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.03	-7	-8	1	15.3	18.1	-2.74	15.5	13.4	2.09
Walter McCarty	37	32	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-10	5	16.6	15.4	1.24	14.9	15.2	-0.33
J.R. Bremer	62	59	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-8	1	16.5	14.5	2.08	14.5	16.2	-1.61
Antoine Walker	68	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	-5	-5	15.5	16.8	-1.39	15.0	15.6	-0.60
Eric Williams	63	64	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.00	-14	-1	-13	15.2	17.1	-1.92	14.9	15.6	-0.75
Tony Delk	53	55	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.07	-20	5	-25	14.8	17.2	-2.49	14.8	15.6	-0.75

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenyon Martin	71	73	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.10	22	-7	29	15.0	15.5	-0.46	15.7	16.3	-0.57
Jason Kidd	79	80	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.03	19	-4	23	14.9	16.5	-1.65	15.4	18.4	-3.04
Jason Collins	55	57	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.06	19	-4	23	14.1	16.6	-2.42	16.8	14.3	2.50
Kerry Kittles	48	51	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.03	14	1	13	14.0	16.3	-2.25	15.4	16.4	-0.98
Richard Jefferson	64	64	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	9	-3	13.7	18.3	-4.60	16.0	15.6	0.40
Brian Scalabrine	43	44	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.14	2	13	-11	16.7	13.8	2.92	15.3	16.3	-0.98
Lucious Harris	49	48	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	11	-7	16.4	13.7	2.76	15.4	16.3	-0.91
Rodney Rogers	8	8	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	13	-11	11.2	15.5	-4.24	9.9	16.4	-6.52
Anthony Johnson	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	18	-21	17.4	14.8	2.64	20.5	15.2	5.34
Tamar Slay	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	20.0	15.1	4.93	28.0	15.6	12.42
Donny Marshall	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	20.0	15.1	4.93	28.0	15.6	12.42
Aaron Williams	29	29	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.16	-6	21	-27	18.0	13.8	4.26	15.6	16.0	-0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.78,0.77,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 92, CHA 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
SAC 107, CHA 112	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,1	95.8%
CHI 82, BOS 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%