NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	107		Excitement	5.2 [792]		MVP	Marvin Williams (CHA): +15.8%
Charlotte Hornets	112		Comeback	1.5 [1122]		LVP	Willie Cauley-Stein (SAC): -20.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Skal Labissiere	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.12	-0.00	0.06	15	70%	0.09	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Kosta Koufos	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.09	-0.01	0.07	13	64%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
George Hill	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	2	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	13	52%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	10	45%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Georgios Papagiannis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.14	-0.04	0.02	20	26%	-0.20	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.05	-0.00	8	82%	0.18	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.01	0.01	12	69%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	-0.00	-0.03	9	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.03	13	52%	0.07	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny O'Bryant III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	7	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Treveon Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	20	52%	0.05	6	-0.10	10	90%	0.03
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	0.03	8	56%	0.04	4	-0.10	9	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	23.4	14.7	30.1	2.4	33.3	130.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +38.6%

CHA +11.1%

CHA +19.9%

SAC -16.5%

SAC -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CHA	NBA	SAC	CHA	NBA
this game	14.3	14.5	14.7	107.0	112.0	107.5
season	15.4	14.6		102.9	108.7
opponent	14.5	14.7		108.5	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.1	16.9	15.4	11.8	14.3
CHA	13.6	13.7	13.4	17.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bogdan Bogdanovic	60	61	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.40	11	-16	27	13.4	15.6	-2.20	14.9	14.0	0.89
Vince Carter	39	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-6	7	14.2	14.4	-0.21	14.3	14.6	-0.31
Georgios Papagiannis	27	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	3	-11	15.7	13.7	2.00	14.2	14.6	-0.37
Skal Labissiere	60	61	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.33	5	-10	15	13.8	14.9	-1.07	14.9	14.0	0.85
Kosta Koufos	36	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	0	-5	14.4	14.2	0.13	13.9	14.9	-0.94
De'Aaron Fox	64	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.33	1	-6	7	14.0	14.7	-0.69	14.8	14.1	0.73
Justin Jackson	42	43	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.11	-8	3	-11	15.1	13.7	1.41	13.5	15.3	-1.85
George Hill	40	39	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.04	-13	8	-21	15.5	13.4	2.12	13.8	15.0	-1.10
Buddy Hield	55	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.14	-7	2	-9	14.1	14.5	-0.46	15.3	13.6	1.65
Willie Cauley-Stein	77	78	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.41	-2	-3	1	14.1	15.0	-0.94	14.6	14.1	0.49

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kemba Walker	84	83	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.31	7	-2	9	14.8	13.2	1.51	14.4	13.5	0.90
Dwight Howard	70	70	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.34	1	4	-3	14.2	15.2	-0.97	14.0	14.8	-0.79
Nicolas Batum	73	72	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.46	-5	10	-15	14.5	14.4	0.10	13.8	15.5	-1.64
Jeremy Lamb	55	54	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.31	-1	6	-7	15.2	13.7	1.47	14.0	14.7	-0.69
Frank Kaminsky	42	42	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.04	8	-3	11	14.4	14.6	-0.28	14.8	13.9	0.91
Marvin Williams	62	62	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.38	-5	10	-15	14.8	14.1	0.67	13.6	15.4	-1.76
Treveon Graham	45	46	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	-1	7	13.7	15.2	-1.47	14.7	14.0	0.69
Michael Carter-Williams	31	32	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.04	8	-3	11	14.7	14.4	0.32	14.7	14.1	0.65
Johnny O'Bryant III	26	26	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.05	6	-1	7	15.0	14.4	0.60	15.7	13.8	1.86
Malik Monk	12	13	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.03	0	5	-5	12.1	14.9	-2.77	14.8	14.2	0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 92, CHA 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
BOS 75, NJN 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.78,0.77,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
TOR 93, DEN 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%