NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	82		Excitement	4.4 [929]		MVP	Tony Battie (BOS): +7.8%
Boston Celtics	96		Comeback	1.7 [1129]		LVP	Ron Mercer (CHI): -15.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
A.J. Guyton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalibor Bagaric	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	86%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Marcus Fizer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	14	56%	-0.02	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
Brad Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Tyson Chandler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0	100%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	7	57%	0.03	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	7	20%	-0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Ron Mercer	-0.16	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.04	0.02	19	48%	-0.08	4	-0.08	8	50%	-0.05

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.00	6	73%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	7	57%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	7	67%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	30%	-0.05	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	12	47%	-0.05	2	-0.03	10	60%	-0.03
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	21	52%	0.05	6	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	10	37%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.7	28.1	15.5	24.6	1.7	25.3	121.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +21.3%

BOS +4.8%

BOS +1.9%

BOS +18.7%

BOS +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	BOS	NBA	CHI	BOS	NBA
this game	15.4	15.7	15.6	88.2	104.3	102.3
season	15.6	15.0		96.3	100.9
opponent	15.7	15.6		98.8	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.6	19.0	14.1	15.5	15.4
BOS	14.6	16.0	15.9	16.5	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddy Curry	10	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-18	22	9.7	16.1	-6.38	18.5	15.4	3.10
Dalibor Bagaric	20	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-17	20	15.3	15.4	-0.12	15.2	15.9	-0.67
Tyson Chandler	17	17	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.15	3	-17	20	11.1	16.4	-5.24	17.2	15.4	1.84
A.J. Guyton	9	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-11	8	17.9	15.1	2.76	15.6	15.8	-0.16
Kevin Ollie	37	33	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	-7	0	18.5	13.4	5.13	16.0	15.6	0.36
Ron Mercer	81	80	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.17	-2	-12	10	13.9	25.2	-11.31	15.7	16.2	-0.49
Greg Anthony	56	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.07	-7	-7	0	13.4	18.5	-5.13	15.6	16.0	-0.36
Fred Hoiberg	60	57	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-2	-10	16.4	13.5	2.92	15.1	16.7	-1.57
Marcus Fizer	51	50	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	-1	-12	15.9	14.8	1.12	16.3	15.1	1.23
Charles Oakley	73	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	3	-20	16.5	11.2	5.28	15.5	16.6	-1.02
Brad Miller	51	51	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.10	-19	5	-24	16.5	14.0	2.46	15.4	16.1	-0.69

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Walker	88	86	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.06	14	0	14	15.9	12.2	3.65	15.7	12.3	3.37
Mark Blount	32	34	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.08	16	-2	18	17.7	14.7	2.99	15.1	15.6	-0.44
Joe Johnson	38	38	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.00	12	2	10	16.1	15.5	0.58	17.7	13.8	3.87
Paul Pierce	74	77	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	3	8	15.5	16.7	-1.15	15.1	16.9	-1.78
Milt Palacio	30	34	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	12	-10	17.6	14.8	2.76	14.6	15.8	-1.23
Kenny Anderson	62	59	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.11	12	2	10	14.8	17.6	-2.76	15.8	14.6	1.23
Erick Strickland	33	33	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	12	-10	16.4	15.4	1.07	13.9	16.2	-2.26
Vitaly Potapenko	20	19	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.03	5	9	-4	14.1	16.2	-2.09	19.7	14.3	5.39
Eric Williams	43	45	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	11	-8	15.0	16.4	-1.43	14.6	16.2	-1.59
Tony Battie	40	40	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.15	-7	21	-28	15.0	16.3	-1.31	13.6	16.8	-3.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 92, CHA 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
DAL 93, OKC 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
BOS 75, NJN 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.78,0.77,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%