NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	93		Excitement	4.9 [847]		MVP	Serge Ibaka (OKC): +13.4%
Oklahoma City Thunder	107		Comeback	1.4 [1019]		LVP	Monta Ellis (DAL): -12.9%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jae Crowder	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.15	0.01	0.06	8	89%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.02	13	63%	0.12	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.02
Ricky Ledo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	6	64%	0.07	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	12	57%	0.04	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.01
Gal Mekel	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.12	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	10	30%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	17	53%	-0.03	7	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.03	-0.00	10	85%	0.16	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.02	-0.07	16	56%	0.12	5	-0.04	9	89%	0.03
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	7	81%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.01	3	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Perry Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	56%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	42%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	20	49%	0.00	5	-0.08	5	40%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.7	30.0	17.7	30.4	3.4	34.5	145.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +29.5%

OKC +8.6%

OKC +3.6%

OKC +8.3%

OKC +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	OKC	NBA	DAL	OKC	NBA
this game	14.8	13.4	15.1	91.2	104.9	105.2
season	15.3	14.4		109.0	107.8
opponent	15.4	15.0		102.9	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.6	16.2	13.4	15.4	14.8
OKC	11.1	14.5	13.2	15.3	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wayne Ellington	18	15	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-14	14	15.5	14.7	0.81	13.3	13.4	-0.16
Ricky Ledo	3	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-12	10	15.0	14.8	0.17	15.0	13.4	1.63
Gal Mekel	23	20	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.10	-6	-8	2	16.2	14.4	1.79	14.2	13.2	0.99
Samuel Dalembert	52	54	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.09	-1	-13	12	14.2	15.5	-1.39	12.7	14.2	-1.52
Dirk Nowitzki	73	73	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.25	3	-17	20	14.7	15.1	-0.38	13.9	12.2	1.67
Jae Crowder	52	50	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-10	6	15.5	14.1	1.36	14.2	12.7	1.53
Shawn Marion	68	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-5	-4	14.2	16.0	-1.75	13.6	12.8	0.81
Vince Carter	30	31	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.01	-13	-1	-12	15.0	14.8	0.19	11.9	14.1	-2.20
DeJuan Blair	41	38	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.15	-18	4	-22	16.6	13.6	2.97	13.5	13.4	0.11
Jose Calderon	67	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	-3	-8	14.3	15.8	-1.47	13.4	13.5	-0.14
Monta Ellis	83	86	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.19	-9	-5	-4	14.4	16.9	-2.53	13.2	14.7	-1.60

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	71	69	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.11	11	3	8	13.5	13.2	0.30	14.4	15.8	-1.37
Serge Ibaka	79	77	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	6	2	13.5	13.1	0.35	14.5	16.0	-1.49
Kevin Durant	80	81	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.17	6	8	-2	13.2	14.0	-0.82	14.2	17.2	-2.97
Steven Adams	40	41	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.03	8	6	2	13.8	13.1	0.74	15.3	14.5	0.85
Reggie Jackson	25	25	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.07	11	3	8	12.4	13.7	-1.33	15.8	14.5	1.28
Jeremy Lamb	43	44	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	10	-6	12.8	13.8	-1.02	15.9	14.0	1.89
Nick Collison	37	37	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.00	7	7	0	12.8	13.7	-0.89	15.8	14.3	1.53
Kendrick Perkins	32	32	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.02	4	10	-6	12.6	13.8	-1.13	14.3	15.1	-0.80
Derek Fisher	32	33	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	11	-8	14.0	13.1	0.83	14.7	14.9	-0.16
Perry Jones	19	19	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.06	5	9	-4	14.1	13.3	0.80	17.3	14.3	3.05
Thabo Sefolosha	50	49	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	13	-12	14.3	12.5	1.80	13.9	15.7	-1.84
Andre Roberson	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	12	-10	15.0	13.4	1.63	15.0	14.8	0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 82, BOS 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
SAS 83, PHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
POR 99, MEM 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.89,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.92,0.92,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.3%