NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	87		Excitement	7.0 [450]		MVP	D.J. Augustin (ORL): +21.2%
Orlando Magic	95		Comeback	1.9 [801]		LVP	Harrison Barnes (DAL): -9.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonathan Gibson	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.16	0.05	0.08	-0.02	16	68%	0.29	6	-0.14	6	83%	0.03
Justin Anderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	8	47%	0.07	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
Nicolas Brussino	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	11	54%	0.08	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Salah Mejri	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Bogut	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	6	33%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	6	24%	-0.07	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Seth Curry	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.03	12	46%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	13	35%	-0.10	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.15,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.06	0.14	-0.02	11	69%	0.29	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.00	6	68%	0.11	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.02
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damjan Rudez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	12	58%	0.09	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.01	5	50%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.02	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	16	35%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	-0.03	13	38%	0.03	4	-0.12	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.4	32.4	15.4	25.9	1.8	59.3	164.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +51.0%

DAL -12.1%

ORL +25.7%

DAL -17.2%

ORL +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	ORL	NBA	DAL	ORL	NBA
this game	15.2	15.0	14.8	91.6	99.0	107.7
season	16.2	14.6		104.4	103.0
opponent	14.9	14.7		109.8	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.0	16.0	13.9	14.8	15.2
ORL	14.0	16.0	15.4	14.6	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dorian Finney-Smith	28	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	0	-8	16.0	14.8	1.23	13.4	15.6	-2.20
Justin Anderson	44	45	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-4	0	14.4	15.9	-1.50	14.9	15.1	-0.23
Nicolas Brussino	11	11	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.06	-8	0	-8	16.6	15.0	1.66	15.0	15.0	0.01
Dwight Powell	41	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.05	-8	0	-8	15.1	15.2	-0.12	15.1	14.9	0.23
Andrew Bogut	70	68	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-8	8	15.7	13.6	2.13	14.4	16.4	-1.98
Seth Curry	71	72	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-7	6	14.8	16.2	-1.45	15.1	14.7	0.38
Salah Mejri	2	3	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-2	-4	21.0	15.0	5.96	19.0	14.9	4.14
Jonathan Gibson	63	63	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-8	8	14.9	15.8	-0.92	15.3	14.5	0.77
Harrison Barnes	74	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.33	0	-8	8	14.9	16.2	-1.31	15.5	12.8	2.68
Wesley Matthews	71	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.29	-5	-3	-2	15.4	14.6	0.78	15.1	14.7	0.32

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Watson	37	37	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.37	8	0	8	15.9	14.4	1.42	15.8	14.8	1.01
Serge Ibaka	62	62	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.30	9	-1	10	14.5	15.8	-1.25	15.4	14.8	0.58
Nikola Vucevic	52	53	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.14	8	0	8	14.8	15.2	-0.35	15.4	14.9	0.43
D.J. Augustin	58	57	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.25	4	4	0	15.6	14.1	1.46	14.8	15.7	-0.82
Aaron Gordon	50	49	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.08	8	0	8	15.1	14.9	0.15	15.8	14.5	1.21
Jeff Green	44	43	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.12	6	2	4	14.9	15.0	-0.11	14.6	15.7	-1.11
Bismack Biyombo	46	43	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.14	1	7	-6	15.8	14.2	1.56	15.5	14.9	0.58
Elfrid Payton	41	42	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	6	-4	14.1	15.7	-1.56	15.5	14.9	0.55
Damjan Rudez	25	25	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.10	1	7	-6	14.9	15.0	-0.09	14.7	15.3	-0.61
Evan Fournier	65	64	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.01	-7	15	-22	14.5	16.0	-1.44	14.5	16.6	-2.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.92,0.93,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 99, SAC 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.59,0.6,0.93,0.97,1,1,1	92.9%
UTA 80, SAS 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.73,0.86,0.93,0.9,0.96,1	92.8%
NJN 96, TOR 98	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.81,0.72,0.81,0.96,0.97,1,1	92.8%