NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	80		Excitement	7.2 [370]		MVP	Avery Johnson (SAS): +17.1%
San Antonio Spurs	83		Comeback	1.9 [687]		LVP	Sean Elliott (SAS): -33.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.01	13	76%	0.19	4	-0.12	7	86%	0.02
Adam Keefe	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Bryon Russell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	67%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Greg Foster	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Morris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	36%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Carr	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Watson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	6	31%	-0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
John Stockton	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	0.00	6	38%	-0.04	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Karl Malone	-0.15	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.1,-0.15	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	24	53%	-0.00	7	-0.15	1	0%	-0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.12	0.01	13	69%	0.22	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Stephen Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	2	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Carl Herrera	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	86%	0.12	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Greg Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	7	31%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.06	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.23,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.22	-0.01	-0.02	14	33%	-0.09	5	-0.11	8	75%	-0.01
Sean Elliott	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.29,-0.3,-0.3,-0.33	-0.33	-0.18	-0.14	0.01	16	41%	-0.20	4	-0.13	12	58%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.7	23.6	15.7	28.2	2.3	29.4	125.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +19.0%

SAS +12.3%

SAS +26.1%

UTA -5.0%

UTA -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAS	NBA	UTA	SAS	NBA
this game	15.0	15.3	15.6	84.2	87.4	104.4
season	15.6	16.8		110.8	100.8
opponent	15.4	16.0		109.4	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.2	13.9	14.4	16.7	15.0
SAS	14.2	18.2	13.8	15.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Howard Eisley	24	23	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.09	1	-4	5	15.2	14.9	0.26	12.3	16.3	-4.02
Greg Foster	18	18	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.00	1	-4	5	16.3	14.7	1.63	13.8	15.6	-1.82
Bryon Russell	13	13	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	-2	1	16.8	14.7	2.04	13.2	15.6	-2.40
Greg Ostertag	36	35	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-2	1	13.2	16.1	-2.92	16.7	14.5	2.28
Chris Morris	36	37	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.06	0	-3	3	14.6	15.2	-0.60	15.4	15.3	0.12
Adam Keefe	36	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.24	1	-4	5	16.5	14.1	2.40	15.5	15.2	0.32
Jeff Hornacek	74	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.34	1	-4	5	14.1	18.2	-4.14	14.9	16.7	-1.85
Antoine Carr	28	28	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.22	-7	4	-11	17.2	14.1	3.18	16.0	15.0	0.99
Jamie Watson	56	56	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.40	-2	-1	-1	15.2	14.8	0.37	15.7	14.7	1.00
Karl Malone	83	82	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.41	-4	1	-5	14.7	17.1	-2.37	15.1	16.7	-1.61
John Stockton	71	72	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.50	-4	1	-5	14.9	15.2	-0.26	16.3	12.3	4.02

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Elliott	70	69	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.41	14	-11	25	16.2	12.9	3.29	14.9	15.4	-0.52
Avery Johnson	78	79	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.44	6	-3	9	16.0	12.2	3.74	14.7	16.6	-1.87
Carl Herrera	61	61	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.33	7	-4	11	14.2	17.2	-3.01	15.0	14.9	0.11
Vernon Maxwell	86	84	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.42	1	2	-1	14.7	21.0	-6.29	15.5	11.1	4.43
Will Perdue	68	68	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.36	-1	4	-5	15.5	14.8	0.74	14.1	17.3	-3.25
Greg Anderson	27	27	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	-1	5	14.8	15.5	-0.74	17.3	14.1	3.25
Stephen Howard	34	34	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	7	-11	17.2	14.2	3.01	14.9	15.0	-0.11
Cory Alexander	26	27	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.04	-1	4	-5	15.3	15.3	-0.05	14.3	15.3	-0.95
Monty Williams	25	26	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	-0.00	-11	14	-25	12.9	16.2	-3.29	15.4	14.9	0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.73,0.86,0.93,0.9,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 103, POR 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.46,0.42,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.91,1	94.3%
IND 76, HOU 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.69,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.96,1,1,1	93.3%
MEM 84, DET 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.49,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.69,0.85,0.83,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,1	93.1%