inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 76 Excitement6.7 [498] MVPYao Ming (HOU): +16.7%
Houston Rockets 86 Comeback1.6 [998] LVPRafer Alston (HOU): -17.2%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff Foster0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.012100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Ike Diogu0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.010.00475%0.051-0.0400%0.00
Shawne Williams-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.01-0.02520%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Danny Granger-0.030,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.02731%-0.021-0.022100%0.02
Troy Murphy-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.040.00633%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Jamaal Tinsley-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.01-0.040.021956%0.055-0.1210%-0.01
Mike Dunleavy-0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.140.02-0.041325%-0.052-0.04250%-0.01
Darrell Armstrong-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.04-0.01410%-0.101-0.03250%-0.02
Jermaine O'Neal-0.150,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.08-0.09-0.012442%-0.063-0.091164%-0.03

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Yao Ming0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.070.100.001768%0.296-0.121392%0.06
Kirk Snyder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.010.00487%0.0700.0000%0.00
Tracy McGrady0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.100.10-0.022142%0.093-0.07683%0.02
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.010.02757%0.0200.0000%0.00
Dikembe Mutombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.000.00150%0.0000.002100%0.01
Charles Hayes0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.000.00475%0.062-0.0600%0.00
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.06-0.05-0.00837%-0.072-0.0500%0.00
Luther Head0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.13-0.06-0.07917%-0.062-0.0600%0.00
Rafer Alston0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.13-0.05-0.01812%-0.112-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.43.628.219.429.22.834.2140.9
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +29.3%
HOU +13.9%
HOU +12.2%
IND -6.7%
HOU +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDHOUNBAINDHOUNBA
this game15.814.815.480.991.5104.5
season15.315.6101.3103.6
opponent15.715.399.2103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND17.615.816.113.815.8
HOU13.715.513.916.214.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ike Diogu20180.20-0.700.910.065-152016.615.61.0214.714.9-0.21
Shawne Williams37370.18-0.680.860.122-121415.016.3-1.2715.714.31.42
Darrell Armstrong2827-0.07-0.430.360.02-3-7416.015.70.3413.915.2-1.28
Jeff Foster4040-0.13-0.370.24-0.130-101017.114.82.3114.115.4-1.20
Jamaal Tinsley6667-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.23-7-3-415.716.0-0.3415.213.91.28
Troy Murphy5253-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.13-111-1215.016.8-1.8714.615.1-0.50
Mike Dunleavy8281-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.22-8-2-615.915.40.4415.013.91.06
Jermaine O'Neal7576-0.630.13-0.75-0.27-122-1415.616.7-1.1815.412.72.69
Danny Granger7071-0.730.23-0.95-0.26-166-2216.015.10.9014.316.6-2.34

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tracy McGrady69700.61-0.110.720.2313-31615.014.40.6016.115.01.13
Shane Battier69690.53-0.030.570.241001015.413.42.0215.516.6-1.15
Yao Ming82810.51-0.010.510.211001014.418.1-3.7215.915.00.93
Juwan Howard51500.480.020.470.3164214.814.9-0.0415.316.4-1.06
Luther Head51500.420.080.350.1982615.014.70.3515.216.5-1.32
Rafer Alston69700.040.46-0.41-0.0746-214.216.5-2.2916.414.02.47
Charles Hayes42430.010.49-0.47-0.0428-614.814.9-0.1016.615.21.40
Dikembe Mutombo1718-0.080.58-0.65-0.02-212-1416.714.42.2816.315.70.66
Kirk Snyder2524-0.110.61-0.72-0.02-313-1614.415.0-0.6015.016.1-1.13


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.69,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.96,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 88, MIL 990.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.63,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.95,1,194.2%
LAL 96, DET 1060.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,193.7%
UTA 80, SAS 830.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.73,0.86,0.93,0.9,0.96,193.3%