NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	102		Excitement	6.6 [521]		MVP	Jimmy Butler (CHI): +42.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	98		Comeback	1.0 [483]		LVP	Tyler Ennis (MIL): -21.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0.42	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.42	0.20	0.22	-0.00	11	96%	0.46	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Nikola Mirotic	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	15	56%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Aaron Brooks	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	4	78%	0.10	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	-0.02	-0.01	11	67%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Doug McDermott	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	5	64%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	4	64%	0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Bobby Portis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	33%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Justin Holiday	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	8	28%	-0.03	1	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Johnny O'Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashad Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	6	58%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03	0.03	0.15	-0.05	0.06	22	67%	0.15	4	-0.12	7	71%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	11	46%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Damien Inglis	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	11	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Jabari Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	21	50%	0.06	4	-0.13	6	100%	0.05
Tyler Ennis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.08,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.07	-0.16	-0.01	7	47%	0.00	4	-0.22	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.8	25.5	15.3	24.3	2.5	32.5	124.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +67.0%

MIL -13.5%

MIL -17.2%

CHI +12.3%

CHI +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MIL	NBA	CHI	MIL	NBA
this game	16.2	15.3	14.9	112.1	106.5	105.1
season	14.8	14.8		103.7	102.8
opponent	15.3	14.9		107.2	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	18.0	14.1	17.3	15.5	16.2
MIL	15.5	16.5	13.4	15.8	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmy Butler	73	74	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.45	7	-3	10	15.9	17.4	-1.50	15.4	15.0	0.36
Pau Gasol	63	64	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.47	6	-2	8	16.2	16.2	-0.04	15.4	15.0	0.47
Nikola Mirotic	69	69	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.36	7	-3	10	15.4	18.7	-3.29	15.0	16.1	-1.12
E'Twaun Moore	49	50	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	1	2	16.8	15.5	1.28	15.7	14.8	0.89
Justin Holiday	49	50	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.32	-1	5	-6	15.5	17.0	-1.42	14.8	15.9	-1.12
Mike Dunleavy	35	34	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	2	0	16.4	16.1	0.35	15.3	15.3	-0.05
Doug McDermott	32	33	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.07	5	-1	6	15.7	16.5	-0.82	15.1	15.4	-0.36
Bobby Portis	22	23	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	7	-10	18.7	15.4	3.29	16.1	15.0	1.12
Cristiano Felicio	28	28	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.08	-2	6	-8	16.2	16.2	0.04	15.0	15.4	-0.47
Aaron Brooks	35	35	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.06	-4	8	-12	17.2	15.6	1.60	15.5	15.1	0.40

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny O'Bryant	40	38	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.27	11	-15	26	15.4	15.2	0.14	17.4	15.3	2.16
Damien Inglis	16	15	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	3	-10	17.8	14.8	3.05	18.2	15.8	2.41
Greg Monroe	42	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	3	-10	16.2	14.5	1.65	17.7	15.0	2.72
Rashad Vaughn	55	56	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.28	2	-6	8	14.4	16.7	-2.31	16.6	15.6	1.00
Greivis Vasquez	12	11	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	7	-18	18.0	14.9	3.11	13.7	16.5	-2.80
Miles Plumlee	50	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.37	3	-7	10	14.5	16.2	-1.65	15.0	17.7	-2.72
Jabari Parker	82	81	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.41	4	-8	12	15.5	13.9	1.56	16.7	11.8	4.93
Giannis Antetokounmpo	83	82	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.45	4	-8	12	14.9	18.8	-3.86	16.3	15.1	1.19
John Henson	19	19	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.09	-16	12	-28	16.2	15.1	1.16	13.4	16.9	-3.56
Tyler Ennis	61	62	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	-1	-2	14.9	16.1	-1.21	15.0	18.7	-3.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.26,0.27,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.15,0.23,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 105, CLE 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.04,0	92.3%
MEM 89, DET 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.2,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.23,0.12,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.53,0.53,0.29,0.32,0.27,0	92.0%
PHX 113, SAC 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.33,0.47,0.37,0.17,0.19,0.4,0.45,0.28,0.33,0.18,0	91.7%