NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	113		Excitement	8.8 [137]		MVP	Omri Casspi (SAC): +22.4%
Sacramento Kings	109		Comeback	1.4 [705]		LVP	Jason Thompson (SAC): -33.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0.20	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.12	0.06	-0.02	11	71%	0.20	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Richardson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.09	-0.00	17	53%	0.15	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.11	0.08	0.04	0.01	14	67%	0.31	4	-0.20	8	100%	0.11
Steve Nash	0.11	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.11	0.03	0.08	0.00	16	67%	0.26	7	-0.15	13	100%	0.12
Jared Dudley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	0.00	7	31%	-0.10	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.11	-0.08	-0.01	10	30%	-0.09	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Omri Casspi	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.12	0.11	0.00	19	59%	0.22	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.03	0.00	10	68%	0.14	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.08,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	9	40%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jon Brockman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.00	-0.17	0.01	3	100%	0.05	3	-0.23	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.06,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.22,-0.18	-0.18	0.02	-0.18	0.02	23	51%	-0.13	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.05
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25,-0.3,-0.3,-0.39,-0.33	-0.33	-0.12	-0.20	0.01	16	40%	-0.15	5	-0.18	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.7	33.3	16.3	27.6	3.2	39.5	146.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +34.1%

PHX +31.6%

SAC -28.3%

PHX +8.4%

PHX +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAC	NBA	PHX	SAC	NBA
this game	13.5	14.2	15.3	108.7	104.8	106.0
season	14.4	15.2		113.5	103.7
opponent	15.0	15.5		108.5	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.8	11.6	14.8	14.3	13.5
SAC	16.2	13.8	13.5	13.4	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	84	83	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.33	15	-11	26	13.6	13.1	0.52	14.7	12.1	2.60
Jason Richardson	70	69	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.34	14	-10	24	13.2	14.1	-0.93	15.0	12.5	2.50
Steve Nash	83	82	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.36	9	-5	14	13.9	12.2	1.66	14.5	13.0	1.55
Channing Frye	85	85	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.38	6	-2	8	13.7	12.7	0.96	14.6	12.3	2.27
Grant Hill	73	72	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.32	0	4	-4	13.6	13.3	0.28	14.6	13.2	1.33
Jared Dudley	43	44	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	2	0	12.8	14.0	-1.24	13.3	14.8	-1.56
Goran Dragic	24	26	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.06	-8	12	-20	13.3	13.6	-0.30	13.2	14.5	-1.36
Leandro Barbosa	31	31	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.00	-7	11	-18	13.5	13.5	-0.05	12.3	15.0	-2.68
Lou Amundson	27	28	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	0.02	-11	15	-26	13.6	13.5	0.10	11.7	15.1	-3.36

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Thomas	8	6	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.07	4	-8	12	15.1	14.1	1.03	16.7	13.3	3.34
Spencer Hawes	38	39	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.04	-1	-3	2	14.7	13.9	0.76	13.2	13.7	-0.54
Donte Greene	37	36	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-2	0	15.1	13.6	1.49	13.9	13.3	0.57
Andres Nocioni	50	50	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.32	7	-11	18	12.5	15.7	-3.22	13.8	13.2	0.62
Ime Udoka	32	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	1	-6	13.0	14.7	-1.65	13.1	13.7	-0.65
Jon Brockman	49	50	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.24	2	-6	8	14.6	13.8	0.87	14.0	13.1	0.96
Omri Casspi	95	95	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.38	-3	-1	-2	14.1	15.3	-1.27	13.7	11.6	2.15
Tyreke Evans	82	82	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	0	-4	14.6	12.7	1.89	13.7	13.0	0.72
Beno Udrih	59	58	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.30	-7	3	-10	13.3	15.3	-1.93	12.4	14.9	-2.54
Jason Thompson	70	69	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.28	-11	7	-18	15.1	12.3	2.75	13.4	13.8	-0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.33,0.47,0.37,0.17,0.19,0.4,0.45,0.28,0.33,0.18,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 102, MIL 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.26,0.27,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.15,0.23,0.15,0	91.7%
MEM 89, DET 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.2,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.23,0.12,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.53,0.53,0.29,0.32,0.27,0	91.6%
CHH 90, IND 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.23,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.28,0.09,0.04,0	91.5%