inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 89 Excitement6.7 [476] MVPAntonio McDyess (DET): +27.3%
Detroit Pistons 84 Comeback1.1 [283] LVPRodney Stuckey (DET): -28.0%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Conley0.160,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.13,0.05,0.160.010.14-0.011174%0.317-0.155100%0.10
Darrell Arthur0.070,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.020.01580%0.0700.0000%0.00
Hakim Warrick0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.000.01482%0.091-0.043100%0.02
Darko Milicic0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.04-0.01-0.021057%0.071-0.0210%-0.01
Marc Gasol0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.01-0.02948%0.072-0.075100%0.02
Quinton Ross0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,00.010.000.01558%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Marko Jaric-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0010%-0.0300.0030%-0.05
O.J. Mayo-0.100,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1-0.05-0.05-0.00750%-0.033-0.0700%0.00
Rudy Gay-0.160,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16-0.07-0.090.001839%-0.112-0.052100%0.01

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.270.270.120.160.011083%0.312-0.043100%0.01
Jason Maxiell0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.070.000.02967%0.0500.0000%0.00
Will Bynum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.02-0.01-0.021052%0.061-0.03367%-0.01
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Kwame Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.04-0.01643%0.001-0.0620%-0.08
Richard Hamilton0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16-0.16-0.18-0.01-0.031934%-0.055-0.11333%-0.02
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.06,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.23-0.230.01-0.200.041550%-0.211-0.0200%0.00
Rodney Stuckey0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.28,-0.28-0.28-0.16-0.15-0.02714%-0.064-0.2200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.23.429.417.426.63.430.6135.9
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +2.0%
MEM +34.2%
MEM +4.0%
MEM +7.5%
MEM +2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMDETNBAMEMDETNBA
this game17.017.315.5106.0100.0106.4
season16.116.9101.7104.9
opponent15.715.3106.2107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM14.713.021.220.917.0
DET16.617.015.920.217.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rudy Gay67690.55-0.050.610.4150517.315.91.3616.918.7-1.79
Marc Gasol61620.480.020.450.4514-317.815.12.6716.718.9-2.17
Mike Conley71700.430.070.360.3432117.614.03.5817.018.5-1.49
O.J. Mayo69680.410.090.330.3041317.415.41.9817.217.4-0.22
Darko Milicic33330.350.150.200.186-1717.716.61.1619.116.13.01
Darrell Arthur39380.160.34-0.170.0832116.817.2-0.3316.418.0-1.58
Quinton Ross34330.120.38-0.260.0332114.918.4-3.5017.816.90.92
Marko Jaric13130.080.42-0.350.0223-114.017.6-3.5818.517.01.42
Hakim Warrick3334-0.090.59-0.67-0.03-27-916.017.7-1.6417.716.90.80

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Will Bynum44430.05-0.550.60-0.074-91317.716.70.9816.917.2-0.29
Arron Afflalo1818-0.08-0.420.34-0.111-6716.317.5-1.2512.918.2-5.26
Amir Johnson2726-0.08-0.420.34-0.02-2-3116.417.6-1.2015.117.9-2.82
Kwame Brown4442-0.19-0.310.12-0.366-111718.316.12.1718.415.62.81
Antonio McDyess4750-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.290-5517.716.71.0019.014.14.83
Jason Maxiell4747-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.02-105-1516.418.4-2.0015.618.8-3.15
Richard Hamilton7473-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.381-6717.416.21.2117.712.55.15
Tayshaun Prince6768-0.510.01-0.52-0.28-83-1117.416.70.7017.714.13.58
Rodney Stuckey5253-0.730.23-0.96-0.23-1712-2916.818.1-1.2916.018.8-2.88


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.2,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.23,0.12,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.53,0.53,0.29,0.32,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 102, MIL 980.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.26,0.27,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.15,0.23,0.15,092.0%
PHX 113, SAC 1090.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.33,0.47,0.37,0.17,0.19,0.4,0.45,0.28,0.33,0.18,091.6%
WAS 102, DAL 950.5,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.28,0.32,0.41,0.24,0.4,0.46,0.28,0.32,0.04,091.6%