NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	102		Excitement	5.9 [625]		MVP	Michael Finley (DAL): +18.6%
Dallas Mavericks	95		Comeback	1.0 [211]		LVP	Steve Nash (DAL): -8.3%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.17	-0.10	0.21	-0.06	21	41%	0.19	1	-0.01	9	78%	0.03
Brendan Haywood	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.01	9	76%	0.09	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.08
Richard Hamilton	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	15	51%	0.13	2	-0.11	7	86%	0.01
Chris Whitney	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	69%	0.04	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Jahidi White	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	5	80%	0.05	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Alexander	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Popeye Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	11	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.14,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.09	0.03	22	68%	0.24	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18	0.18	0.04	0.12	-0.01	12	56%	0.18	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Adrian Griffin	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.07	0.00	7	57%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	4	80%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.08
Danny Manning	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Wang Zhi-zhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	6	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	12	42%	-0.01	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.5	27.4	16.4	21.8	1.0	39.2	130.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +13.7%

WAS +24.7%

WAS +22.7%

DAL -12.9%

WAS +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DAL	NBA	WAS	DAL	NBA
this game	17.2	15.0	15.6	114.6	105.6	102.3
season	16.5	14.8		102.2	109.6
opponent	15.5	15.3		105.8	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	18.6	15.0	19.6	15.9	17.2
DAL	16.6	15.0	13.1	15.4	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Jordan	62	65	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.16	13	-6	19	17.7	16.0	1.71	15.7	13.3	2.43
Tyronn Lue	56	55	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.14	12	-5	17	16.2	18.8	-2.54	14.6	15.8	-1.21
Brendan Haywood	53	51	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.36	2	5	-3	17.3	17.0	0.26	15.6	14.3	1.33
Richard Hamilton	78	79	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.26	4	3	1	17.2	16.6	0.59	14.8	16.8	-2.03
Hubert Davis	65	63	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.33	1	6	-5	16.1	20.0	-3.89	14.5	16.2	-1.65
Jahidi White	31	33	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	3	1	19.6	15.9	3.72	15.8	14.6	1.14
Chris Whitney	40	43	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	5	-3	16.7	17.6	-0.88	14.2	15.8	-1.53
Courtney Alexander	3	2	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.00	2	5	-3	9.7	17.4	-7.75	14.5	15.0	-0.55
Popeye Jones	22	22	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	6	-5	14.6	18.0	-3.41	14.8	15.1	-0.34
Christian Laettner	35	37	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.12	-6	13	-19	20.0	15.3	4.73	15.6	14.6	0.95

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eduardo Najera	34	31	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.05	7	-14	21	13.5	16.0	-2.46	17.9	16.8	1.10
Wang Zhi-zhi	22	26	-0.04	-0.47	0.43	-0.30	9	-16	25	13.2	15.6	-2.39	16.2	17.6	-1.36
Johnny Newman	40	39	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.07	0	-7	7	14.0	15.8	-1.77	16.5	17.7	-1.24
Evan Eschmeyer	4	4	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-2	-3	14.2	15.1	-0.82	14.2	17.3	-3.04
Danny Manning	21	20	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	0	-7	17.4	14.3	3.06	19.2	16.6	2.70
Shawn Bradley	20	20	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-4	1	16.1	14.7	1.37	18.3	16.8	1.47
Juwan Howard	44	43	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	1	-9	15.7	14.4	1.36	17.5	16.8	0.64
Tim Hardaway	60	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.32	1	-8	9	14.9	15.3	-0.35	16.4	18.7	-2.22
Adrian Griffin	43	41	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	-2	-3	15.9	14.3	1.58	18.7	15.8	2.92
Steve Nash	79	78	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.26	-8	1	-9	14.8	16.5	-1.72	16.7	20.4	-3.66
Michael Finley	83	83	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.23	-16	9	-25	15.3	12.0	3.29	16.9	21.0	-4.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.28,0.32,0.41,0.24,0.4,0.46,0.28,0.32,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 82, MIA 76	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.34,0.28,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.1,0.01,0	92.8%
SAC 93, BOS 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.18,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.34,0.23,0.14,0.35,0.22,0.39,0.22,0.16,0.27,0	92.5%
IND 99, CLE 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.22,0.13,0.18,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.21,0.15,0.13,0	92.0%