inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Philadelphia 76ers 82 Excitement6.0 [604] MVPCorie Blount (PHI): +6.5%
Miami Heat 76 Comeback1.1 [640] LVPAllen Iverson (PHI): -47.9%


Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Corie Blount0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.010.05-0.01450%0.0700.0000%0.00
Tim James0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.020.012100%0.0500.0000%0.00
Aaron McKie0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.02-0.012100%0.112-0.07250%-0.01
Matt Harpring0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.000.011250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Alvin Jones0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Speedy Claxton-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.060.04-0.00440%0.032-0.042100%0.01
Derrick Coleman-0.030,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.02-0.011658%0.084-0.114100%0.02
Raja Bell-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.0000%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Dikembe Mutombo-0.150,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.12-0.07-0.04729%-0.141-0.02757%-0.08
Allen Iverson-0.480,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.23,-0.26,-0.3,-0.4,-0.4,-0.48,-0.48,-0.48-0.33-0.20-0.063035%-0.237-0.251275%-0.04

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LaPhonso Ellis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.000.01863%0.031-0.02367%-0.00
Vladimir Stepania0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Brian Grant0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00540%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Tang Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.04-0.00956%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Sean Marks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0020%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Sam Mack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.030.00425%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Chris Gatling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.05-0.01643%-0.021-0.062100%0.02
Eddie House0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.05-0.08-0.021254%0.074-0.182100%0.00
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.07-0.070.00835%-0.082-0.0710%-0.01
Eddie Jones0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.12-0.050.001354%-0.026-0.151173%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.61.829.415.724.11.835.7138.0
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHI +17.9%
PHI +4.3%
PHI +22.2%
PHI +4.3%
PHI +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPHIMIANBAPHIMIANBA
this game17.315.115.692.185.4102.3
season15.916.599.396.6
opponent15.815.698.298.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
PHI16.716.220.616.117.3
MIA18.515.113.713.415.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dikembe Mutombo67640.64-0.140.770.1716-102617.317.30.0415.514.01.52
Allen Iverson81790.56-0.060.610.2610-41417.316.90.4715.610.55.13
Aaron McKie79780.460.040.420.0813-72016.920.3-3.3815.313.32.03
Speedy Claxton39410.360.140.220.51-511-1616.118.2-2.1414.415.6-1.28
Derrick Coleman71690.310.190.110.2233017.217.9-0.7315.613.02.59
Matt Harpring56540.160.34-0.180.0733018.315.62.7514.516.0-1.51
Corie Blount34370.070.43-0.370.18-410-1417.617.10.5114.415.6-1.21
Tim James9120.020.48-0.460.05-17-817.817.20.5315.115.10.03
Alvin Jones12-0.020.52-0.550.06-39-1221.017.33.7412.015.1-3.13
Raja Bell89-0.040.54-0.580.02-28-1018.217.21.0410.615.6-5.01

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sean Marks31290.02-0.520.55-0.187-132015.015.1-0.0918.416.81.60
Sam Mack2726-0.07-0.430.36-0.194-101412.916.0-3.1118.916.72.23
Vladimir Stepania89-0.09-0.410.320.03-4-2-219.714.65.1614.717.6-2.93
Chris Gatling2927-0.09-0.410.31-0.276-121813.515.8-2.3316.717.6-0.91
Tang Hamilton1111-0.13-0.370.240.13-93-1219.714.45.3317.417.30.07
Eddie House5452-0.17-0.330.15-0.418-142213.717.2-3.5316.917.9-1.01
LaPhonso Ellis5052-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.17-3-3014.815.4-0.6817.517.00.47
Alonzo Mourning5254-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.20-5-1-415.614.31.3016.618.5-1.90
Eddie Jones7778-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.21-5-1-415.611.34.3017.217.9-0.69
Brian Grant3334-0.41-0.09-0.330.11-1812-3015.414.90.5418.916.32.60
Anthony Carter7373-0.600.10-0.70-0.28-115-1615.413.61.7416.919.1-2.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.34,0.28,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.1,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 107, DAL 1020.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.16,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.13,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.53,0.29,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.04,0.08,094.5%
WAS 102, LAC 930.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.24,0.25,0.33,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.01,094.1%
IND 99, CLE 950.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.22,0.13,0.18,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.21,0.15,0.13,093.6%