NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	93		Excitement	9.0 [133]		MVP	Chris Webber (SAC): +31.0%
Boston Celtics	92		Comeback	9.2 [164]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -19.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0.31	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,0.31	-0.04	0.34	-0.01	21	57%	0.55	6	-0.24	5	40%	-0.39
Bobby Jackson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	7	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	5	50%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Hedo Turkoglu	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	53%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	-0.04	14	48%	0.02	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	-0.03	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	13	46%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Scot Pollard	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	1	83%	0.02	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Keon Clark	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	4	10%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,0.15,0.17	0.17	-0.03	0.19	-0.02	23	62%	0.32	7	-0.15	18	72%	0.11
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	4	100%	0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	56%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
Mark Blount	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	5	58%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
J.R. Bremer	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	7	44%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.02
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.16	-0.05	-0.02	20	37%	-0.05	5	-0.14	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.6	31.3	17.6	28.5	2.7	43.3	151.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +94.4%

BOS -63.1%

SAC +22.5%

BOS -12.7%

SAC +8.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	BOS	NBA	SAC	BOS	NBA
this game	13.6	15.0	15.5	90.3	92.9	101.6
season	14.0	15.6		104.4	99.3
opponent	15.5	15.7		99.9	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	11.1	12.2	14.5	17.5	13.6
BOS	14.6	14.6	14.9	16.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	45	44	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.30	9	-8	17	13.4	13.7	-0.27	14.6	15.3	-0.72
Peja Stojakovic	76	74	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.40	3	-2	5	13.6	13.5	0.10	14.4	16.8	-2.48
Chris Webber	88	86	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.42	2	-1	3	14.2	9.8	4.39	14.8	16.0	-1.16
Mike Bibby	66	64	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.43	0	1	-1	13.9	13.0	0.91	13.9	16.9	-2.98
Vlade Divac	57	55	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.19	3	-2	5	14.0	13.0	1.08	14.3	15.8	-1.49
Jim Jackson	58	55	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.43	-8	9	-17	13.7	13.4	0.27	15.3	14.6	0.72
Bobby Jackson	37	35	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.04	1	0	1	13.0	13.9	-0.91	16.9	13.9	2.98
Hedo Turkoglu	27	25	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	3	-5	13.5	13.6	-0.10	16.8	14.4	2.48
Scot Pollard	30	28	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.07	-2	3	-5	12.2	14.1	-1.91	14.7	15.1	-0.43
Keon Clark	31	29	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.01	-1	2	-3	12.2	14.2	-1.99	17.0	14.2	2.84

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Delk	34	35	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.07	6	-7	13	16.2	14.3	1.90	13.8	13.4	0.33
Mark Blount	47	49	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.19	8	-9	17	15.7	14.3	1.40	14.5	12.7	1.75
Grant Long	5	6	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-2	3	16.6	14.9	1.70	8.2	13.9	-5.72
Walter McCarty	50	50	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.43	7	-8	15	15.1	14.8	0.30	14.5	12.7	1.76
Eric Williams	59	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.03	-9	8	-17	14.6	15.5	-0.86	12.8	14.7	-1.96
Tony Battie	45	48	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.30	-7	6	-13	14.6	15.3	-0.67	12.6	14.3	-1.70
Paul Pierce	96	99	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.45	-2	1	-3	14.9	16.7	-1.73	13.6	13.2	0.32
Antoine Walker	94	97	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.46	-2	1	-3	14.9	16.6	-1.70	13.9	8.2	5.72
J.R. Bremer	65	68	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.40	-7	6	-13	14.3	16.2	-1.90	13.4	13.8	-0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.18,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.34,0.23,0.14,0.35,0.22,0.39,0.22,0.16,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 102, DAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.28,0.32,0.41,0.24,0.4,0.46,0.28,0.32,0.04,0	92.5%
IND 99, CLE 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.22,0.13,0.18,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.21,0.15,0.13,0	92.4%
MIA 100, UTA 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.37,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.16,0.21,0.1,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.1,0.24,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.05,0	92.0%