NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	100		Excitement	5.9 [623]		MVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): +14.1%
Utah Jazz	95		Comeback	1.0 [623]		LVP	Trey Burke (UTA): -17.9%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.14	0.10	0.06	0.02	16	66%	0.23	3	-0.09	12	67%	-0.03
Chris Bosh	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.14	0.09	0.05	0.00	16	61%	0.17	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Luol Deng	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	7	78%	0.10	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Danny Granger	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	6	64%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Hamilton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	10	41%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Udonis Haslem	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	4	38%	0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Shabazz Napier	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.02	-0.02	7	25%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alec Burks	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.04	0.00	10	57%	0.13	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.04
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	2	90%	0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.13	-0.05	0.02	17	66%	0.10	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	13	60%	0.07	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Joe Ingles	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.04	-0.01	12	29%	-0.09	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.7	28.1	14.8	24.3	2.6	38.8	136.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +38.1%

UTA -8.2%

MIA +2.1%

MIA +16.7%

MIA +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	UTA	NBA	MIA	UTA	NBA
this game	15.9	17.0	15.1	113.6	109.2	104.2
season	16.0	16.2		102.4	103.8
opponent	15.3	15.3		103.7	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	13.9	15.0	18.6	16.4	15.9
UTA	19.7	17.7	17.4	13.6	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwyane Wade	65	64	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.40	11	-6	17	15.4	17.4	-2.05	17.0	17.0	0.06
Justin Hamilton	51	51	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.31	10	-5	15	16.2	15.5	0.70	18.6	14.7	3.93
Luol Deng	61	62	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.29	7	-2	9	15.3	17.3	-1.98	17.5	15.8	1.74
Norris Cole	48	49	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.01	7	-2	9	15.9	15.9	0.04	18.8	14.7	4.16
Chris Bosh	68	68	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.24	-1	6	-7	15.6	17.0	-1.46	16.3	19.4	-3.03
Mario Chalmers	44	45	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.28	-3	8	-11	16.6	15.2	1.34	15.2	18.9	-3.68
Udonis Haslem	34	33	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	3	-1	14.0	17.1	-3.13	15.9	17.7	-1.81
Shawne Williams	23	21	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.16	-3	8	-11	19.1	14.8	4.29	17.7	16.8	0.88
Danny Granger	27	25	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	7	-9	17.3	15.3	1.98	15.8	17.5	-1.74
Shabazz Napier	19	17	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.04	-3	8	-11	16.2	15.9	0.30	15.5	17.4	-1.83

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Evans	10	12	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.03	5	-10	15	16.3	17.1	-0.79	18.6	15.5	3.08
Rodney Hood	35	38	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.20	10	-15	25	15.1	18.3	-3.20	14.9	16.7	-1.76
Dante Exum	26	26	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.10	4	-9	13	16.3	17.3	-0.99	17.3	15.3	1.97
Trevor Booker	25	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.16	5	-10	15	17.6	16.8	0.84	16.9	15.6	1.31
Rudy Gobert	45	45	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.39	12	-17	29	16.3	17.7	-1.43	17.2	14.6	2.66
Steve Novak	10	9	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	2	-9	11.2	17.8	-6.55	9.0	16.7	-7.71
Gordon Hayward	64	65	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.27	3	-8	11	16.6	18.1	-1.48	15.2	17.9	-2.70
Derrick Favors	17	17	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.12	-11	6	-17	21.1	16.0	5.04	14.6	16.2	-1.65
Joe Ingles	21	19	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.07	-7	2	-9	16.8	17.1	-0.31	17.0	15.6	1.38
Trey Burke	61	62	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.25	-9	4	-13	17.3	16.3	0.99	15.3	17.3	-1.97
Alec Burks	55	56	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.15	-16	11	-27	18.5	14.3	4.20	16.6	14.8	1.79
Enes Kanter	66	67	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.30	-14	9	-23	17.4	15.9	1.51	15.9	16.0	-0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.37,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.16,0.21,0.1,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.1,0.24,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 95, PHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.23,0.26,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0	93.9%
NOH 112, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.43,0.28,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.01,0	93.7%
BOS 81, DET 71	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.17,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.26,0.19,0.2,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.41,0.32,0.26,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.02,0.01,0,0	93.6%