NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	109		Excitement	8.2 [248]		MVP	Evan Turner (BOS): +15.8%
Golden State Warriors	106		Comeback	1.9 [314]		LVP	Draymond Green (GSW): -13.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Turner	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.1,0.16	0.03	0.13	0.00	13	70%	0.28	5	-0.12	4	100%	0.04
Isaiah Thomas	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.13	-0.02	0.09	-0.05	20	49%	0.20	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.03
Jared Sullinger	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.04	0.01	13	62%	0.14	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	6	75%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	7	50%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	12	50%	0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Kelly Olynyk	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.06	-0.01	8	39%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Terry Rozier	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	12%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Amir Johnson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	5	47%	0.01	2	-0.11	5	20%	-0.07

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.08	0.00	11	64%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.03	0.00	5	100%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.05	-0.02	19	71%	0.32	9	-0.21	3	100%	0.03
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.05	0.00	4	80%	0.12	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.02	-0.02	16	45%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	6	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.11	0.02	13	55%	0.07	4	-0.21	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.7	28.4	16.4	29.4	2.7	37.5	142.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +2.8%

BOS +2.5%

BOS +16.7%

BOS +28.1%

GSW -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	GSW	NBA	BOS	GSW	NBA
this game	15.1	13.3	14.9	107.9	103.9	105.1
season	13.9	13.7		104.5	112.3
opponent	15.1	15.0		102.9	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.3	15.5	14.2	16.5	15.1
GSW	12.9	13.3	14.0	13.0	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Turner	78	79	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.35	9	-6	15	15.7	13.1	2.59	13.1	14.1	-1.08
Isaiah Thomas	71	74	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	-1	5	15.2	14.9	0.27	12.6	15.2	-2.65
Jonas Jerebko	43	41	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	-1	5	15.0	15.2	-0.20	13.9	12.9	0.94
Avery Bradley	74	76	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.26	2	1	1	14.7	16.2	-1.55	13.1	13.9	-0.84
Amir Johnson	56	57	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	-1	5	14.7	15.6	-0.88	13.3	13.2	0.09
Marcus Smart	57	58	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.36	-5	8	-13	14.9	15.3	-0.37	13.5	13.0	0.56
Kelly Olynyk	37	35	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.14	0	3	-3	14.8	15.2	-0.44	14.2	12.8	1.42
Jared Sullinger	54	57	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	2	-1	15.7	14.4	1.36	12.8	13.9	-1.10
Terry Rozier	35	33	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.21	-4	7	-11	14.8	15.2	-0.40	14.7	12.6	2.03

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anderson Varejao	22	22	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.05	6	-9	15	13.6	13.2	0.44	13.6	15.5	-1.92
Leandro Barbosa	36	36	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.14	6	-9	15	14.2	12.8	1.48	14.4	15.4	-1.00
Ian Clark	19	20	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.07	2	-5	7	12.9	13.4	-0.49	15.9	14.9	1.07
Brandon Rush	18	16	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.09	-7	4	-11	12.6	13.5	-0.90	16.7	14.8	1.90
Marreese Speights	22	23	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.14	-2	-1	-1	14.6	12.9	1.71	16.8	14.6	2.25
Draymond Green	80	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.27	-1	-2	1	12.9	14.6	-1.71	14.6	16.8	-2.25
Stephen Curry	80	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.27	-1	-2	1	12.9	14.6	-1.71	14.6	16.8	-2.25
Andrew Bogut	39	39	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	8	-19	13.2	13.4	-0.23	15.4	14.9	0.52
Shaun Livingston	40	42	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.38	0	-3	3	14.2	12.7	1.57	14.9	15.2	-0.32
Harrison Barnes	75	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.43	1	-4	5	13.2	13.5	-0.25	15.1	15.1	-0.08
Klay Thompson	79	77	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.38	-8	5	-13	13.1	14.1	-1.08	15.7	13.0	2.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.59,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.52,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.15,0.1,0.19,0.12,0.03,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 96, ORL 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.32,0.34,0.43,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.25,0.15,0.06,0.01,0	93.7%
MIN 104, POR 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.15,0	93.6%
MIA 100, UTA 94	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.38,0.41,0.55,0.52,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.11,0.21,0.03,0.02,0	92.8%