NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	104		Excitement	7.4 [328]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +17.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	98		Comeback	2.0 [289]		LVP	Scottie Pippen (POR): -20.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17	0.10	0.06	-0.01	16	74%	0.22	3	-0.05	10	90%	0.02
Wally Szczerbiak	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.16	0.03	0.12	-0.00	11	59%	0.19	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.07
Gary Trent	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.06	0.00	2	100%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Rasho Nesterovic	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	12	42%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	15	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Marc Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Igor Rakocevic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Rod Strickland	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	15	36%	-0.08	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	24	59%	0.12	5	-0.14	6	67%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	7	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	9	38%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Derek Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.08	-0.05	17	46%	-0.02	2	-0.07	7	86%	-0.03
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2	-0.20	-0.13	-0.09	-0.01	11	31%	-0.15	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.6	31.2	15.7	29.0	1.8	35.2	139.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +43.5%

POR -7.4%

MIN +10.0%

MIN +0.4%

MIN +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	POR	NBA	MIN	POR	NBA
this game	14.8	15.2	15.5	108.3	102.1	101.6
season	14.9	16.0		104.0	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.8		101.8	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.5	14.6	13.7	14.5	14.8
POR	16.3	13.7	15.1	16.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	81	80	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.25	19	-13	32	14.9	14.1	0.74	15.4	14.3	1.11
Rasho Nesterovic	73	70	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.21	18	-12	30	14.9	14.3	0.60	16.0	13.2	2.86
Rod Strickland	70	68	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.27	9	-3	12	14.9	14.5	0.41	15.0	15.8	-0.82
Joe Smith	42	43	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.08	12	-6	18	16.3	13.6	2.75	15.7	14.9	0.75
Anthony Peeler	54	54	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.25	1	5	-4	14.4	15.3	-0.89	16.0	14.3	1.70
Kendall Gill	42	42	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.07	5	1	4	15.3	14.4	0.89	14.3	16.0	-1.70
Wally Szczerbiak	50	48	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.18	-5	11	-16	13.6	16.0	-2.46	15.3	15.2	0.06
Igor Rakocevic	26	28	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.05	-3	9	-12	14.5	14.9	-0.41	15.8	15.0	0.82
Marc Jackson	23	26	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.12	-12	18	-30	14.3	14.9	-0.60	13.2	16.0	-2.86
Gary Trent	19	21	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.13	-14	20	-34	13.9	15.0	-1.01	13.6	15.7	-2.07

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	20	19	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.04	5	-11	16	14.6	15.4	-0.74	14.2	14.9	-0.75
Ruben Patterson	32	31	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.09	6	-12	18	15.4	15.2	0.25	13.8	15.2	-1.41
Antonio Daniels	18	19	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-4	2	17.1	14.8	2.24	14.2	14.9	-0.69
Arvydas Sabonis	47	47	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.20	3	-9	12	15.1	15.4	-0.34	13.0	16.4	-3.45
Zach Randolph	43	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-3	0	15.3	15.2	0.20	17.1	12.9	4.18
Derek Anderson	81	79	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-2	-2	15.1	15.9	-0.82	15.1	13.1	2.07
Scottie Pippen	82	84	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.30	-9	3	-12	15.3	14.6	0.70	14.9	13.5	1.44
Bonzi Wells	87	87	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.34	-8	2	-10	15.0	17.3	-2.31	14.5	17.2	-2.72
Dale Davis	70	71	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.18	-18	12	-30	15.2	15.3	-0.09	14.9	14.2	0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 96, ORL 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.32,0.34,0.43,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.25,0.15,0.06,0.01,0	93.7%
BOS 109, GSW 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.59,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.52,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.15,0.1,0.19,0.12,0.03,0.1,0	93.6%
PHX 103, WAS 87	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	93.3%