NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	96		Excitement	6.4 [508]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (CHA): +26.8%
Orlando Magic	89		Comeback	1.8 [405]		LVP	Jameer Nelson (ORL): -22.6%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0.27	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.27	0.13	0.12	-0.02	20	61%	0.27	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	4	70%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Boris Diaw	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	90%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	5	42%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Derrick Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	8	63%	0.09	3	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Gerald Henderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	10	45%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Raymond Felton	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	12	52%	0.02	3	-0.09	7	86%	0.02
Tyrus Thomas	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	9	41%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.07	-0.01	13	71%	0.23	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.15	-0.03	0.04	13	70%	0.12	1	-0.05	7	86%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.02	0.02	14	71%	0.19	4	-0.13	10	30%	-0.16
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21	-0.21	-0.12	-0.06	0.02	7	21%	-0.12	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.13	-0.10	-0.00	10	20%	-0.15	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.4	30.5	17.6	26.0	2.4	38.5	144.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +12.5%

CHA +11.9%

CHA +15.5%

CHA +3.2%

CHA +6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ORL	NBA	CHA	ORL	NBA
this game	17.0	15.7	15.3	109.1	101.1	106.0
season	16.2	15.4		103.0	110.1
opponent	15.9	15.4		101.9	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.3	17.1	18.1	16.8	17.0
ORL	15.0	14.2	19.8	14.5	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	63	62	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.22	13	-6	19	16.9	17.3	-0.36	15.5	16.2	-0.64
Stephen Graham	51	54	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.15	10	-3	13	18.0	15.7	2.23	15.9	15.3	0.62
Stephen Jackson	77	78	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.23	6	1	5	17.1	16.6	0.44	16.0	13.3	2.71
Raymond Felton	65	63	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	-2	11	16.6	18.3	-1.74	15.1	17.2	-2.09
Tyson Chandler	28	29	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.25	1	6	-5	17.0	17.0	0.02	16.9	15.1	1.78
Theo Ratliff	60	59	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.05	6	1	5	17.0	17.0	-0.02	15.1	16.9	-1.78
D.J. Augustin	36	36	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.27	-2	9	-11	15.9	17.8	-1.97	15.6	15.8	-0.25
Gerald Henderson	19	18	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.10	-2	9	-11	16.7	17.1	-0.43	16.4	15.5	0.86
Derrick Brown	3	2	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.04	1	6	-5	22.7	16.8	5.84	21.5	15.6	5.93
Tyrus Thomas	38	39	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.17	-7	14	-21	17.4	16.7	0.70	15.5	15.8	-0.30

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	13	13	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.14	8	-15	23	15.2	15.8	-0.65	17.0	17.0	-0.03
Jason Williams	27	27	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.16	2	-9	11	16.6	15.3	1.33	17.2	16.9	0.29
Brandon Bass	29	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-7	7	17.6	14.8	2.81	17.9	16.6	1.33
Vince Carter	76	75	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.19	0	-7	7	15.9	14.7	1.11	17.0	17.2	-0.24
JJ Redick	20	21	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	-1	-5	13.3	16.4	-3.05	15.3	17.6	-2.22
Mickael Pietrus	75	76	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-7	7	15.8	15.2	0.65	17.6	13.1	4.56
Jameer Nelson	61	61	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.13	-9	2	-11	15.3	16.6	-1.33	16.9	17.2	-0.29
Rashard Lewis	64	64	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.14	-15	8	-23	15.3	16.8	-1.49	16.5	18.5	-1.97
Dwight Howard	75	75	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.16	-15	8	-23	15.8	15.2	0.65	17.0	17.0	0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.32,0.34,0.43,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.25,0.15,0.06,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 90, ATL 86	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.29,0.24,0.15,0.17,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.06,0.08,0	93.9%
MIN 104, POR 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.15,0	93.7%
BOS 109, GSW 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.59,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.52,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.15,0.1,0.19,0.12,0.03,0.1,0	93.7%