inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 100 Excitement6.7 [495] MVPMehmet Okur (UTA): +13.9%
Utah Jazz 94 Comeback1.8 [346] LVPDeron Williams (UTA): -14.2%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.110.040.090.022060%0.245-0.121292%0.07
Gary Payton0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.060.05-0.00961%0.1100.0000%0.00
James Posey0.070,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.110.000.031271%0.111-0.0400%0.00
Antoine Walker0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04-0.020.05-0.02756%0.123-0.08250%-0.02
Udonis Haslem-0.000,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.01-0.00540%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Wayne Simien-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.00250%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Alonzo Mourning-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.02340%-0.011-0.00450%-0.02
Shaquille O'Neal-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.021439%-0.002-0.04367%-0.03
Gerald Fitch-0.070,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.00748%0.003-0.07786%0.01

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mehmet Okur0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.090.04-0.01969%0.162-0.021182%0.02
Andrei Kirilenko0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.120.120.120.020.011374%0.193-0.07887%0.02
Milt Palacio0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.050.02-0.011164%0.161-0.0700%0.00
Matt Harpring0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.03-0.000.03960%0.021-0.022100%0.00
Devin Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.000.00267%0.032-0.042100%0.01
Jarron Collins0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.01160%0.022-0.05333%-0.02
Keith McLeod0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.030.00425%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Greg Ostertag0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.00525%-0.0600.00250%-0.01
Gordan Giricek0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12-0.12-0.09-0.04-0.00925%-0.111-0.02250%-0.01
Deron Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.11-0.03-0.001127%-0.072-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.32.526.716.723.41.737.2136.5
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +24.1%
MIA +5.4%
MIA +22.0%
UTA -1.1%
UTA -0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAUTANBAMIAUTANBA
this game15.815.515.6108.7102.2104.4
season15.517.0106.1101.7
opponent15.015.5104.6102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA13.914.217.717.915.8
UTA13.816.416.615.615.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwyane Wade87880.66-0.160.810.2813-72016.011.44.6215.712.72.91
James Posey78790.470.030.450.3060616.313.13.1815.416.3-0.90
Antoine Walker48460.380.120.250.3806-615.016.6-1.5315.515.6-0.15
Shaquille O'Neal64650.370.130.240.0810-41416.414.32.1415.316.0-0.71
Udonis Haslem48490.290.210.080.039-31216.015.50.5614.716.5-1.75
Gary Payton48480.290.210.070.32-17-816.015.50.5215.615.50.15
Gerald Fitch49480.060.44-0.380.0606-615.116.6-1.4815.215.9-0.63
Alonzo Mourning23220.040.46-0.420.19-511-1614.816.1-1.2617.115.02.11
Wayne Simien1515-0.050.55-0.610.00-28-1013.416.2-2.8317.715.12.55

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Devin Brown15150.02-0.520.54-0.011-7816.815.31.5112.316.5-4.19
Jarron Collins2525-0.01-0.490.470.02-1-5413.816.2-2.3814.416.3-1.88
Deron Williams5251-0.12-0.390.27-0.172-81016.414.32.0914.417.5-3.18
Mehmet Okur6768-0.24-0.260.02-0.333-91214.618.0-3.4416.015.00.99
Greg Ostertag2928-0.25-0.250.01-0.10-5-1-418.214.33.9115.415.9-0.49
Keith McLeod2425-0.26-0.24-0.010.07-115-1615.315.6-0.2717.315.22.07
Milt Palacio4948-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.342-81015.615.50.0816.415.11.35
Matt Harpring4949-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.320-6616.015.01.0915.216.4-1.17
Gordan Giricek4445-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.19-60-614.116.9-2.7617.014.62.45
Andrei Kirilenko8585-0.550.05-0.61-0.26-104-1415.318.1-2.8315.914.01.92


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.38,0.41,0.55,0.52,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.11,0.21,0.03,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 109, GSW 1060.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.59,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.52,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.15,0.1,0.19,0.12,0.03,0.1,092.8%
CHI 89, CHA 870.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,092.7%
MIN 104, POR 980.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.15,092.7%