NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	94		Excitement	4.2 [998]		MVP	Kristaps Porzingis (NYK): +12.9%
New York Knicks	106		Comeback	1.0 [578]		LVP	Bobby Portis (CHI): -8.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Rose	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.12	0.00	0.08	23	60%	0.06	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Justin Holiday	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.00	0.03	8	56%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Doug McDermott	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	3	12%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jimmy Butler	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	15	53%	0.05	4	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01
Nikola Mirotic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	9	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Mike Dunleavy	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	0.05	10	45%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.04	-0.02	15	58%	0.16	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	-0.05	9	61%	0.08	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	0.01	0.07	17	67%	0.10	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	5	90%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.01	0.05	8	72%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	9	60%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	-0.03	4	50%	0.02	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	25.3	16.7	25.0	1.8	27.0	121.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +48.4%

NYK +8.4%

NYK +2.9%

CHI -12.3%

NYK +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NYK	NBA	CHI	NYK	NBA
this game	14.2	15.6	14.9	97.9	109.3	105.1
season	14.8	15.6		103.7	103.5
opponent	14.8	14.9		106.1	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.2	13.1	15.6	14.0	14.2
NYK	15.2	15.2	16.5	15.9	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Holiday	27	30	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-14	16	12.5	14.9	-2.34	15.7	15.6	0.04
Bobby Portis	35	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-11	10	13.5	14.6	-1.08	15.8	15.6	0.21
Aaron Brooks	35	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	-4	-4	14.7	13.9	0.86	14.9	16.0	-1.09
Doug McDermott	27	27	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-7	2	14.5	14.1	0.39	16.4	15.4	1.01
Taj Gibson	52	53	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-6	0	14.8	13.5	1.25	15.1	16.3	-1.28
Nikola Mirotic	51	50	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	-7	2	13.8	14.7	-0.88	15.3	16.0	-0.78
Mike Dunleavy	57	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-8	4	14.2	14.2	-0.06	15.7	15.5	0.21
Derrick Rose	78	80	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.18	-6	-6	0	14.1	14.8	-0.78	15.6	15.6	0.06
Jimmy Butler	77	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	-1	-10	14.5	12.8	1.76	15.9	14.7	1.24
Cristiano Felicio	41	41	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.01	-16	4	-20	14.7	13.8	0.85	16.2	15.2	0.96

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Calderon	65	66	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.04	17	-5	22	15.8	15.2	0.63	14.4	13.7	0.77
Robin Lopez	71	70	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.12	14	-2	16	15.2	17.0	-1.81	14.1	14.4	-0.26
Carmelo Anthony	68	69	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.01	17	-5	22	16.6	13.4	3.22	14.4	13.8	0.58
Kristaps Porzingis	67	69	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.01	14	-2	16	16.2	14.3	1.94	14.6	13.2	1.36
Arron Afflalo	59	57	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	8	-4	15.9	15.2	0.75	13.9	14.7	-0.79
Sasha Vujacic	38	39	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.03	8	4	4	15.2	15.9	-0.75	14.7	13.9	0.79
Derrick Williams	37	34	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.12	-1	13	-14	15.4	15.8	-0.47	13.4	14.6	-1.26
Jerian Grant	27	25	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	12	-12	14.0	16.3	-2.22	13.4	14.5	-1.08
Kevin Seraphin	19	19	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	15	-18	15.9	15.6	0.32	14.5	14.1	0.41
Langston Galloway	34	32	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.22	-10	22	-32	14.6	16.2	-1.62	14.0	14.3	-0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.99,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 112, HOU 131	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.49,0.64,0.75,0.71,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
CHH 80, ATL 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.83,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.79,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
BOS 82, LAL 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.89,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%