NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	112		Excitement	4.9 [874]		MVP	Kevin Martin (HOU): +24.0%
Houston Rockets	131		Comeback	1.1 [1172]		LVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): -8.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorell Wright	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.23	0.01	0.14	21	74%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Acie Law	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lou Amundson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	5	20%	-0.05
Al Thornton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Adrien	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	19	49%	0.03	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.02	7	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Reggie Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	6	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.04	0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	13	50%	0.03	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Stephen Curry	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	16	50%	0.00	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.19	0.06	0.01	21	71%	0.27	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.18	0.02	0.01	16	78%	0.20	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	0.01	0.05	5	87%	0.08	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	11	43%	0.04	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.01
Michael Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.04	16	53%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	11	45%	0.02	2	-0.04	7	43%	-0.03
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.03	8	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	29.6	15.0	27.3	1.6	28.3	127.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +22.7%

HOU +12.4%

HOU +8.4%

HOU +4.1%

HOU +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	HOU	NBA	GSW	HOU	NBA
this game	13.4	15.4	15.5	112.0	131.0	105.7
season	14.8	15.2		106.6	109.5
opponent	14.9	15.2		107.5	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	10.9	14.1	13.8	15.3	13.4
HOU	16.4	14.2	14.4	16.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Adrien	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-17	15	8.0	13.5	-5.54	19.0	15.3	3.70
Lou Amundson	35	34	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-16	13	14.8	12.7	2.06	12.5	16.9	-4.39
Acie Law	25	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	-14	9	15.3	12.8	2.47	15.0	15.5	-0.50
Reggie Williams	34	34	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-14	9	15.7	12.2	3.49	14.0	16.1	-2.03
Al Thornton	19	18	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.07	-8	-11	3	13.3	13.5	-0.21	15.0	15.5	-0.45
Vladimir Radmanovic	16	17	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	-11	3	15.6	13.0	2.54	12.5	16.0	-3.42
Ekpe Udoh	70	69	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	-9	-1	12.6	15.3	-2.67	16.6	12.6	4.04
Dorell Wright	88	89	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.03	-13	-6	-7	13.4	13.7	-0.36	15.4	15.1	0.31
David Lee	72	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.00	-13	-6	-7	13.0	14.5	-1.49	16.6	12.1	4.53
Stephen Curry	65	65	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.00	-14	-5	-9	12.1	15.9	-3.87	15.6	15.0	0.61
Monta Ellis	74	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.04	-14	-5	-9	13.2	14.0	-0.72	15.5	15.1	0.34

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Courtney Lee	86	86	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.02	17	2	15	15.9	12.0	3.92	13.4	13.4	0.08
Kevin Martin	82	80	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.04	19	0	19	15.7	14.1	1.60	13.4	13.7	-0.34
Charles Hayes	80	80	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.01	17	2	15	15.5	14.8	0.71	13.1	14.5	-1.40
Kyle Lowry	84	82	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.00	15	4	11	15.3	15.7	-0.45	12.9	15.8	-2.93
Patrick Patterson	49	50	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.01	9	10	-1	13.7	17.0	-3.29	14.6	12.3	2.34
Luis Scola	66	64	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.07	10	9	1	16.4	13.4	3.01	13.0	14.1	-1.06
Goran Dragic	38	40	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.05	-1	20	-21	14.1	16.1	-2.00	15.1	12.3	2.74
DeMarre Carroll	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	16	-13	12.5	15.6	-3.05	12.9	13.5	-0.62
Michael Harris	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	15	-11	15.2	15.4	-0.13	10.6	13.6	-2.98
Jordan Hill	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	17	-15	16.0	15.3	0.66	11.5	13.6	-2.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.49,0.64,0.75,0.71,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 94, NYK 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.99,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.8%
NYK 76, NJN 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
ATL 102, TOR 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.56,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.98,0.96,1	95.3%