NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	80		Excitement	4.5 [879]		MVP	Christian Laettner (ATL): +14.1%
Atlanta Hawks	98		Comeback	1.1 [830]		LVP	Vlade Divac (CHH): -12.9%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Beck	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	67%	0.05	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Glen Rice	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	13	54%	0.03	2	-0.03	9	89%	0.03
B.J. Armstrong	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Farmer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Travis Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	8	45%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.01
J.R. Reid	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	5	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	11	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David Wesley	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	8	35%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Bobby Phills	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	10	36%	-0.08	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Vlade Divac	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	8	41%	-0.07	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.04

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.03	-0.01	13	71%	0.15	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	5	80%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	17	55%	0.06	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.02
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	5	57%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Greg Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	8	32%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	62%	0.03	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.00
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	10	40%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	7	37%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	1.6	26.2	15.7	29.2	2.5	30.4	126.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +56.4%

CHH -1.6%

CHH -1.8%

CHH -5.0%

ATL +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	ATL	NBA	CHH	ATL	NBA
this game	15.7	16.9	15.6	89.9	111.4	102.5
season	15.7	16.1		104.0	105.3
opponent	16.0	15.9		101.5	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	17.5	15.0	15.3	14.8	15.7
ATL	14.5	20.2	14.0	19.5	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
B.J. Armstrong	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-16	14	11.0	16.0	-5.01	17.0	16.9	0.13
Tony Farmer	6	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-16	14	11.0	16.0	-5.01	16.0	16.9	-0.93
Travis Williams	5	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-16	14	9.2	16.1	-6.86	13.0	17.1	-4.06
Dell Curry	46	46	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-16	14	14.9	16.5	-1.53	19.0	14.6	4.41
Corey Beck	35	34	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.07	-2	-16	14	15.4	15.9	-0.50	18.8	15.7	3.13
Vlade Divac	48	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	-11	4	16.0	15.2	0.80	15.5	18.4	-2.97
Matt Geiger	27	29	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-13	8	15.4	15.8	-0.44	17.8	16.4	1.32
J.R. Reid	42	41	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.02	-9	-9	0	15.5	15.8	-0.33	18.8	15.2	3.57
Bobby Phills	52	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	-8	-2	15.5	15.9	-0.42	15.2	19.4	-4.15
David Wesley	48	48	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.04	-14	-4	-10	16.5	14.7	1.75	15.5	18.5	-3.02
Glen Rice	68	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	-2	-14	16.3	13.7	2.57	17.0	16.3	0.71
Anthony Mason	62	61	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.09	-19	1	-20	16.6	13.4	3.20	16.2	18.3	-2.10

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Smith	71	70	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.05	23	-5	28	16.9	16.9	-0.01	16.1	14.0	2.13
Christian Laettner	62	63	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.03	17	1	16	16.0	18.8	-2.80	16.3	14.0	2.31
Dikembe Mutombo	69	67	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.07	20	-2	22	16.4	18.5	-2.04	16.3	13.7	2.65
Mookie Blaylock	64	64	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.07	17	1	16	16.5	17.8	-1.26	16.6	13.3	3.27
Tyrone Corbin	41	42	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.03	8	10	-2	14.5	18.9	-4.38	16.7	14.8	1.88
Chucky Brown	34	35	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.12	0	18	-18	18.0	16.2	1.83	14.8	16.2	-1.39
Greg Anderson	37	38	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.01	2	16	-14	19.5	15.0	4.51	14.6	16.5	-1.91
Eldridge Recasner	24	25	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	17	-16	17.8	16.5	1.26	13.3	16.6	-3.27
Chris Crawford	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	16	-14	13.0	17.1	-4.06	9.2	16.1	-6.86
Anthony Miller	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	16	-14	13.0	17.1	-4.06	9.2	16.1	-6.86
Ed Gray	30	31	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.01	-2	20	-22	19.3	15.6	3.73	14.9	16.1	-1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.83,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.79,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 94, NYK 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.99,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.3%
SAC 87, TOR 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
WAS 94, LAC 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,1	95.0%