inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 87 Excitement3.9 [1033] MVPPatrick Patterson (TOR): +13.0%
Toronto Raptors 99 Comeback1.0 [1125] LVPRudy Gay (SAC): -7.4%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ray McCallum0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.00-0.03844%0.0300.002100%0.01
Travis Outlaw-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Quincy Acy-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.0300%-0.011-0.0120%-0.01
Derrick Williams-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.08-0.00-0.07518%0.002-0.0210%-0.01
Ben McLemore-0.020,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.011154%0.003-0.034100%0.02
DeMarcus Cousins-0.030,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.07-0.000.101271%0.075-0.101080%-0.00
Reggie Evans-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.01444%-0.011-0.021020%-0.11
Orlando Johnson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Isaiah Thomas-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.030.011347%-0.011-0.03475%0.00
Jason Thompson-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00333%-0.002-0.0600%0.00
Rudy Gay-0.070,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.01-0.020.041350%-0.032-0.05475%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Patrick Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.130.020.01894%0.151-0.0200%0.00
Terrence Ross0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.150.030.051275%0.1300.0000%0.00
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.01-0.02490%0.093-0.04250%-0.01
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.11-0.000.06970%0.0400.0020%-0.01
John Salmons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01-0.01944%0.0200.0000%0.00
Nando De Colo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.040100%0.0000.004100%0.00
Steve Novak00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Charles Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Landry Fields0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Tyler Hansbrough0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.100.01-0.081140%0.034-0.04887%0.02
DeMar DeRozan0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.00-0.031342%-0.022-0.011070%-0.01
Greivis Vasquez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.000.00533%-0.041-0.002100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.32.532.315.530.61.729.3140.2
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +31.6%
TOR +5.0%
SAC -7.8%
TOR +19.4%
TOR +1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACTORNBASACTORNBA
this game15.315.515.192.6106.5105.2
season15.415.9104.5107.2
opponent15.114.7104.2107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC15.315.815.614.515.3
TOR13.517.813.817.415.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ray McCallum4545-0.04-0.460.42-0.226-182414.915.7-0.8717.513.63.93
Derrick Williams3737-0.06-0.440.38-0.205-172214.715.7-1.0218.213.74.54
Travis Outlaw54-0.07-0.430.360.08-5-7213.815.4-1.6011.515.7-4.16
Orlando Johnson1414-0.09-0.410.330.00-3-9613.015.7-2.7313.415.9-2.50
Quincy Acy2020-0.09-0.410.310.17-9-3-615.715.20.5515.115.6-0.49
Reggie Evans5048-0.19-0.310.120.04-8-4-415.315.3-0.0416.214.71.54
DeMarcus Cousins5152-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.321-131415.714.80.8915.615.30.25
Ben McLemore5860-0.30-0.20-0.110.08-131-1416.613.23.4415.216.0-0.80
Jason Thompson5352-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.03-11-1-1015.914.51.3914.317.0-2.76
Rudy Gay6765-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.12-131-1415.016.1-1.1614.717.4-2.73
Isaiah Thomas7068-0.510.01-0.53-0.22-10-2-814.916.6-1.7514.817.4-2.57

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kyle Lowry76770.50-0.000.500.1213-11415.216.7-1.5015.215.9-0.76
Terrence Ross52540.450.050.390.121111013.817.6-3.7615.515.10.38
Jonas Valanciunas49510.340.160.170.1957-214.916.1-1.1515.315.4-0.10
DeMar DeRozan62620.250.250.000.1348-415.814.90.8216.014.11.86
Patrick Patterson53520.250.25-0.01-0.0293616.014.81.2415.015.7-0.63
Amir Johnson48490.220.28-0.050.19111-1014.916.1-1.2615.914.71.21
Greivis Vasquez34350.180.32-0.14-0.0893616.914.72.2515.315.3-0.01
Charles Hayes22210.170.33-0.16-0.1093615.115.6-0.4615.815.20.63
John Salmons45450.120.38-0.26-0.0566017.014.03.0215.015.7-0.70
Steve Novak110.060.44-0.39-0.00210-820.015.44.575.015.4-10.43
Nando De Colo430.000.50-0.500.03-113-1411.015.7-4.6914.715.3-0.67
Landry Fields660.000.50-0.500.18-618-2413.715.6-1.9412.215.5-3.37
Tyler Hansbrough1314-0.030.53-0.560.03-214-1617.815.12.7514.515.5-0.96


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 72, LAL 1110.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%
DEN 111, LAC 1320.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%
MIL 99, MIN 1160.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%