inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 111 Excitement4.4 [965] MVPDanilo Gallinari (LAC): +20.7%
LA Clippers 132 Comeback1.1 [849] LVPMason Plumlee (DEN): -8.8%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Trey Lyles0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.000.01868%0.0900.00367%-0.00
Monte Morris0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.090.000.04975%0.061-0.002100%0.01
Juancho Hernangomez0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.01-0.00842%0.0200.00333%-0.03
Jamal Murray0.020,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.011649%0.031-0.025100%0.03
Torrey Craig0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.00550%0.0100.002100%0.01
Nikola Jokic0.010,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.011558%0.084-0.073100%0.02
Thomas Welsh0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.04757%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandon Goodwin0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03362%0.0000.002100%0.00
Tyler Lydon0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nick Young-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.060.00-0.0540%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Malik Beasley-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.011438%-0.0300.001100%0.00
Mason Plumlee-0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.01840%-0.033-0.06450%-0.02

LA Clippers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.170.060.021181%0.2100.004100%0.07
Tobias Harris0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.120.030.021562%0.151-0.024100%0.02
Montrezl Harrell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.160.000.071180%0.1000.00367%-0.01
Avery Bradley0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.02-0.01675%0.091-0.0100%0.00
Patrick Beverley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.090.000.03686%0.061-0.002100%0.01
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.100.010.071064%0.0400.002100%-0.00
Mike Scott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.01764%0.0310.0000%0.00
Tyrone Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.01-0.02944%0.0110.0000%0.00
Boban Marjanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.05650%0.003-0.0000%0.00
Sindarius Thornwell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Marcin Gortat0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01540%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Lou Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.09-0.00-0.05550%0.055-0.092100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.62.428.614.527.80.625.5125.0
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAC +45.0%
LAC +5.4%
LAC +3.5%
DEN -3.4%
DEN -0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENLACNBADENLACNBA
this game15.013.114.3108.8128.2109.3
season14.813.9112.0111.3
opponent14.114.6110.7108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.614.314.416.815.0
LAC13.613.313.811.613.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandon Goodwin13140.00-0.500.50-0.155-263115.315.00.3312.113.2-1.09
Tyler Lydon2021-0.00-0.500.50-0.093-242715.514.90.6011.313.5-2.26
Thomas Welsh2122-0.00-0.500.50-0.093-242715.614.90.7511.213.6-2.37
Nick Young2829-0.06-0.440.390.12-6-15915.514.80.6611.613.7-2.09
Malik Beasley5859-0.24-0.260.01-0.01-8-13515.414.50.8712.613.7-1.04
Trey Lyles3939-0.24-0.260.010.17-14-7-715.115.00.1312.813.3-0.47
Juancho Hernangomez4848-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.02-8-13515.414.60.7913.912.31.59
Monte Morris5553-0.29-0.21-0.080.27-19-2-1715.414.50.9011.714.6-2.90
Mason Plumlee6463-0.30-0.20-0.090.20-17-4-1314.416.1-1.6513.911.72.19
Torrey Craig5757-0.32-0.18-0.130.01-11-10-114.016.3-2.3514.211.72.51
Jamal Murray6667-0.38-0.12-0.270.12-17-4-1314.416.1-1.6413.712.01.71
Nikola Jokic4143-0.41-0.09-0.320.06-16-5-1115.714.51.1914.212.31.97

LA Clippers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander67670.460.040.41-0.1922-12313.412.50.9015.613.91.68
Danilo Gallinari50490.440.060.37-0.061741314.312.02.3215.614.51.14
Avery Bradley46440.420.080.34-0.081741314.112.21.8815.514.70.84
Tobias Harris55540.380.120.26-0.03147714.311.72.5415.314.70.51
Marcin Gortat41380.260.240.02-0.00912-314.612.12.5715.214.90.35
Montrezl Harrell42450.240.26-0.03-0.12129312.613.4-0.8714.615.4-0.79
Tyrone Wallace46450.130.37-0.23-0.10813-511.814.2-2.4014.715.3-0.55
Patrick Beverley41420.080.42-0.34-0.07516-1112.513.5-0.9214.315.5-1.25
Mike Scott53520.050.45-0.40-0.01219-1712.014.3-2.3214.515.5-1.02
Lou Williams37390.040.46-0.430.04021-2112.713.3-0.5614.015.7-1.69
Sindarius Thornwell17160.010.49-0.490.04-122-2310.913.5-2.6415.614.90.72
Boban Marjanovic20190.000.50-0.490.00021-2111.013.6-2.5915.614.90.75


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 78, MIA 950.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
SAS 72, LAL 1110.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
SAC 87, TOR 990.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%