inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 82 Excitement4.9 [838] MVPChris Mihm (BOS): +3.2%
Los Angeles Lakers 105 Comeback1.1 [1121] LVPKobe Bryant (LAL): -17.9%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Mihm0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.01579%0.061-0.02475%0.00
Marcus Banks0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.050.00-0.05952%0.033-0.03367%0.00
Michael Stewart0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jumaine Jones0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Mark Blount-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.04425%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Ricky Davis-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.01-0.03756%0.014-0.05450%-0.03
Jiri Welsch-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.03-0.001141%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Vin Baker-0.060,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.020.01665%0.023-0.08862%-0.02
Mike James-0.060,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.01425%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Paul Pierce-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.040.001857%0.027-0.146100%0.03
Walter McCarty-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.12-0.04-0.0180%-0.1600.0000%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bryon Russell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.050.00-0.05437%0.042-0.0400%0.00
Devean George0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.001058%0.032-0.034100%0.02
Brian Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luke Walton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0000.0020%0.00
Kareem Rush0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.01456%-0.0110.001100%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.07-0.000.09971%-0.001-0.02333%-0.02
Slava Medvedenko0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.000.031145%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Gary Payton0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01859%0.053-0.09683%0.01
Horace Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.030.01856%0.012-0.062100%0.01
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.110.00-0.041055%0.003-0.072050%-0.06
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.21-0.03-0.061831%-0.066-0.1200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.02.635.115.831.22.628.3140.6
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +12.6%
LAL +3.1%
LAL +41.5%
BOS -4.0%
BOS -3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSLALNBABOSLALNBA
this game14.116.115.785.4110.5100.5
season14.415.499.5102.8
opponent15.615.999.0102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS15.414.713.013.214.1
LAL12.316.019.717.016.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jumaine Jones11100.01-0.510.530.010-232313.714.2-0.4315.716.1-0.41
Michael Stewart1716-0.09-0.410.32-0.03-2-211913.714.2-0.4814.316.4-2.11
Vin Baker4947-0.15-0.350.210.21-12-11-115.013.11.8716.915.21.69
Chris Mihm4445-0.16-0.340.180.02-6-171112.715.3-2.6315.816.3-0.58
Mark Blount4039-0.21-0.290.070.11-11-12115.613.12.5216.116.00.07
Marcus Banks6159-0.24-0.260.010.02-9-14513.415.3-1.9516.415.60.82
Paul Pierce7372-0.25-0.25-0.000.10-12-11-114.413.01.3915.617.4-1.81
Mike James3536-0.26-0.24-0.010.16-14-9-515.313.41.9515.616.4-0.82
Ricky Davis5453-0.32-0.18-0.130.18-17-6-1113.514.9-1.3416.215.90.37
Walter McCarty4243-0.39-0.11-0.280.05-15-8-713.314.7-1.4616.116.10.01
Jiri Welsch5455-0.45-0.05-0.390.05-17-6-1114.313.80.4816.515.41.15

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gary Payton61600.56-0.060.63-0.052121915.716.8-1.1414.413.70.70
Shaquille O'Neal70690.460.040.42-0.071851315.318.2-2.9514.912.12.72
Devean George64640.400.100.30-0.01149515.517.2-1.6814.313.80.48
Horace Grant59580.400.100.30-0.07167915.916.4-0.5213.914.4-0.57
Kobe Bryant71710.310.190.13-0.13158715.617.5-1.8714.413.21.28
Slava Medvedenko42450.140.36-0.22-0.241310317.614.82.8313.714.4-0.70
Bryon Russell31320.100.40-0.30-0.17914-517.215.51.6813.814.3-0.48
Derek Fisher41430.100.40-0.31-0.17914-517.015.31.6912.915.1-2.17
Kareem Rush17180.020.48-0.45-0.00122-2117.215.81.3614.813.90.83
Brian Cook990.000.50-0.500.03-124-2516.416.00.4212.014.3-2.32
Luke Walton10110.000.50-0.500.00023-2315.716.1-0.4113.714.2-0.43


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.89,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 78, MIA 950.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%
DEN 111, LAC 1320.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%
CHI 94, NYK 1060.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.99,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,195.3%