NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	114		Excitement	9.9 [69]		MVP	Ryan Anderson (NOP): +46.8%
Memphis Grizzlies	121		Comeback	4.9 [272]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): -26.9%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0.47	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47	0.05	0.34	-0.08	17	59%	0.57	3	-0.11	7	86%	-0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.07	-0.00	11	71%	0.21	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Davis	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14	0.05	0.14	0.05	17	58%	0.22	3	-0.08	9	78%	0.02
Luke Babbitt	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Orlando Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23	-0.10	-0.13	-0.00	15	35%	-0.16	2	-0.07	4	25%	-0.07
Jrue Holiday	-0.27	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.22,-0.3,-0.29,-0.28,-0.28,-0.27	-0.04	-0.22	0.01	27	53%	0.03	7	-0.30	10	80%	0.03

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.3,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.44	0.44	0.08	0.37	0.02	15	62%	0.47	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.03
Matt Barnes	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.37,0.28,0.28,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.13	0.29	0.01	19	59%	0.40	0	0.00	6	100%	0.10
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.16	0.10	0.02	20	63%	0.25	1	-0.02	12	67%	-0.08
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Hollins	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
PJ Hairston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	10	38%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Jarell Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	9	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	10	38%	0.02	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.01
Briante Weber	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	0.03	-0.10	0.02	6	71%	-0.01	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.5	2.5	31.5	15.3	24.5	1.8	38.2	2.5	20.8	164.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.3	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +25.1%

MEM +7.0%

NOP -16.3%

MEM +39.2%

NOP -5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	MEM	NBA	NOP	MEM	NBA
this game	14.0	14.4	14.9	100.9	109.0	105.1
season	14.3	15.7		104.3	103.4
opponent	14.8	15.0		106.7	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NOP	13.6	14.6	15.1	14.8	10.9	14.0
MEM	12.6	16.0	15.6	15.8	10.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omer Asik	28	28	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.10	8	-15	23	14.0	14.0	0.04	13.5	14.7	-1.14
Orlando Johnson	10	9	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	-2	-3	17.8	13.6	4.16	11.1	14.7	-3.57
Jrue Holiday	88	87	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.29	3	-10	13	13.5	15.9	-2.40	14.4	14.2	0.28
Dante Cunningham	97	95	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	-1	-5	14.1	13.5	0.59	14.9	11.2	3.74
Luke Babbitt	24	25	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-2	-3	13.5	14.2	-0.70	11.7	15.2	-3.44
Toney Douglas	87	87	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.35	1	-8	9	13.8	14.6	-0.79	14.9	12.5	2.41
Alonzo Gee	55	52	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.17	-9	2	-11	14.0	14.0	0.05	14.5	14.3	0.25
Ryan Anderson	78	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.09	-12	5	-17	14.2	13.7	0.47	14.7	13.7	1.03
Anthony Davis	98	97	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.38	-10	3	-13	14.2	12.9	1.24	14.2	15.4	-1.11

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	78	80	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.45	9	-2	11	13.8	15.7	-1.82	13.7	14.7	-0.97
JaMychal Green	80	81	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.16	19	-12	31	14.4	14.3	0.18	13.9	14.4	-0.55
Lance Stephenson	77	80	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.21	17	-10	27	14.5	14.2	0.22	14.2	13.5	0.74
Matt Barnes	91	93	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.40	3	4	-1	14.4	14.3	0.11	13.8	15.1	-1.39
Briante Weber	82	84	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.31	-4	11	-15	14.8	13.2	1.60	13.7	14.8	-1.10
Vince Carter	25	26	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.09	9	-2	11	12.7	14.9	-2.15	14.4	13.9	0.54
Jarell Martin	44	45	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	8	-9	15.1	13.9	1.17	14.3	13.8	0.50
Ryan Hollins	27	26	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.12	-9	16	-25	14.4	14.4	-0.02	14.2	14.0	0.24
PJ Hairston	51	50	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.14	-8	15	-23	14.5	14.2	0.30	14.7	13.4	1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.7,0.62,0.47,0.69,0.71,0.54,0.75,0.9,0.69,0.42,0.46,0.75,0.85,0.95,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 104, UTA 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.6,0.53,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.54,0.86,0.91,0.99,1,1	90.9%
MIL 103, IND 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.52,0.45,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.71,0.86,0.79,0.94,0.73,0.46,0.62,0.71,0.95,0.96,1	89.3%
DET 96, HOU 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.78,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.57,0.16,0.46,0.61,0.72,0.85,0.98,1	88.9%