inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 104 Excitement9.9 [73] MVPChandler Parsons (DAL): +31.1%
Orlando Magic 110 Comeback13.2 [108] LVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): -28.2%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chandler Parsons0.310,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.310.180.11-0.0211109%0.494-0.1800%0.00
Jose Juan Barea0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.04-0.011062%0.121-0.02475%0.01
Charlie Villanueva0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.02-0.02869%0.141-0.0400%0.00
Dwight Powell0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Salah Mejri0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Justin Anderson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Raymond Felton-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.09-0.09-0.03520%-0.132-0.0100%0.00
Zaza Pachulia-0.150,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.09-0.09-0.03942%0.024-0.17862%-0.06
Wesley Matthews-0.190,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19-0.09-0.12-0.011025%-0.171-0.0200%0.00
Deron Williams-0.200,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.20.08-0.220.051864%0.064-0.26367%-0.04
Dirk Nowitzki-0.280,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28-0.10-0.19-0.011631%-0.271-0.02333%-0.05

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.040.01-0.041055%0.0900.0000%0.00
Victor Oladipo0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,0.09,0.080.08-0.030.10-0.011845%0.122-0.042100%0.02
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.020.001157%0.091-0.03667%-0.02
Mario Hezonja0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.04-0.02333%0.0400.0000%0.00
Evan Fournier0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.030.03-0.031141%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Brandon Jennings0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.07-0.040.021264%0.032-0.024100%0.01
CJ Watson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Elfrid Payton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.02-0.070.01950%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Aaron Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.04-0.130.03844%-0.142-0.0600%0.00
Nikola Vucevic0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.28-0.28-0.05-0.24-0.022047%-0.134-0.155100%0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.52.323.616.422.42.332.42.519.6147.0
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.52.217.3136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL -23.2%
ORL +7.8%
ORL +23.5%
ORL +41.0%
ORL +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALORLNBADALORLNBA
this game15.213.914.996.399.1105.1
season15.514.6105.0103.6
opponent14.914.7105.2106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DAL16.513.515.116.812.815.2
ORL13.514.715.512.013.213.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Charlie Villanueva2625-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-5415.315.20.1013.613.9-0.34
Justin Anderson54-0.02-0.480.46-0.020-6618.415.03.3614.013.90.14
Dwight Powell810-0.04-0.460.430.08-4-2-214.715.2-0.4810.014.2-4.25
Jose Juan Barea4547-0.07-0.430.36-0.163-91215.215.20.0913.214.4-1.20
Salah Mejri98-0.12-0.380.270.03-5-1-417.315.02.3315.513.71.76
Raymond Felton5353-0.12-0.380.270.18-104-1416.014.41.5814.213.60.66
Zaza Pachulia8284-0.19-0.310.13-0.366-121815.015.9-0.9114.312.61.63
Deron Williams8587-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.250-6615.016.0-1.0814.113.11.00
Wesley Matthews7579-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.15-93-1214.915.8-0.9413.913.70.29
Chandler Parsons7375-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.37-3-3015.115.5-0.4314.113.40.70
Dirk Nowitzki7983-0.840.34-1.17-0.63-71-815.115.5-0.4413.514.9-1.42

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikola Vucevic74710.63-0.130.760.3410-41413.913.80.0415.115.4-0.32
Victor Oladipo88850.57-0.070.640.1315-92413.714.6-0.8815.314.70.69
Evan Fournier88860.54-0.040.580.308-21013.913.80.1015.414.41.04
Aaron Gordon59570.380.120.260.2933014.313.40.9415.115.4-0.30
Mario Hezonja34330.360.140.220.109-31212.914.3-1.3715.814.90.81
Elfrid Payton59570.260.240.010.028-21013.614.2-0.5415.614.70.96
Brandon Jennings52510.240.26-0.010.30-28-1014.213.60.5414.715.6-0.96
Jason Smith3737-0.130.63-0.76-0.01-410-1413.813.9-0.0415.415.10.32
Ersan Ilyasova4847-0.170.67-0.84-0.05-410-1413.614.0-0.4215.115.3-0.16
CJ Watson1616-0.180.68-0.860.20-1319-3215.913.52.3512.915.6-2.72


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.64,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.61,0.51,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.16,0.17,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.39,0.47,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.5,0.61,0.71,0.57,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 101, NYK 1110.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.32,0.46,0.32,0.09,0.54,0.61,0.9,0.78,0.98,188.8%
LAL 113, DEN 1170.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.31,0.24,0.18,0.31,0.17,0.04,0.27,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.85,0.99,187.6%
LAC 110, CHI 1140.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.32,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.19,0.39,0.47,0.46,0.68,0.15,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.68,0.85,187.0%