NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	110		Excitement	12.2 [9]		MVP	Jannero Pargo (CHI): +50.6%
Chicago Bulls	114		Comeback	62.3 [20]		LVP	Chris Kaman (LAC): -31.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Predrag Drobnjak	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	11	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.09,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	21	62%	0.17	4	-0.17	13	100%	0.13
Melvin Ely	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Matt Barnes	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	4	30%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Eddie House	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	5	20%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,-0.03,-0.12,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.12	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	21	48%	-0.10	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.09
Keyon Dooling	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19	-0.07	-0.11	0.01	15	46%	-0.15	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.04
Doug Overton	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22,-0.22	-0.12	-0.13	-0.03	10	32%	-0.13	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Kaman	-0.31	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.18,-0.31,-0.31	-0.06	-0.25	0.00	6	53%	-0.05	3	-0.26	3	67%	-0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.2,0.2,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.51,0.51	0.51	0.03	0.47	-0.01	18	53%	0.59	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.02	7	56%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Linton Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	23	53%	0.03	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.02
Jamal Crawford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.08	-0.00	23	49%	-0.05	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.05
Ronald Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	7	35%	-0.06	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	5	36%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.03
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.25,-0.25,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.03	-0.15	0.00	17	52%	-0.09	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.5	2.4	32.3	16.8	27.0	2.5	35.3	1.5	17.0	157.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	2.0	17.4	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +95.2%

LAC -34.7%

LAC -48.4%

CHI +30.9%

CHI +7.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CHI	NBA	LAC	CHI	NBA
this game	15.7	13.7	15.7	102.8	104.6	100.5
season	15.5	15.2		101.3	94.6
opponent	15.4	15.4		101.3	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAC	16.5	14.2	13.5	19.2	16.1	15.7
CHI	14.2	13.5	13.6	13.5	13.9	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Kaman	71	72	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.06	7	-11	18	14.9	17.3	-2.40	14.1	13.1	1.02
Melvin Ely	5	5	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-6	8	13.2	15.9	-2.66	11.0	13.9	-2.86
Corey Maggette	85	88	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.22	8	-12	20	15.6	16.1	-0.44	14.1	12.1	1.96
Doug Overton	69	72	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.23	7	-11	18	15.2	16.7	-1.51	13.8	13.6	0.16
Randy Livingston	36	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.04	-9	5	-14	17.1	15.1	2.03	13.6	13.8	-0.16
Eddie House	16	15	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	1	-6	16.8	15.5	1.26	15.5	13.4	2.02
Keyon Dooling	92	94	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.32	1	-5	6	15.5	17.5	-2.01	13.4	15.5	-2.02
Elton Brand	95	96	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	-2	0	15.9	14.7	1.21	13.5	15.3	-1.80
Predrag Drobnjak	43	45	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.30	-15	11	-26	17.1	14.8	2.23	13.9	13.6	0.36
Matt Barnes	23	21	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.35	-14	10	-24	16.0	15.7	0.28	12.1	14.1	-1.96

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jannero Pargo	64	63	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.46	11	-7	18	13.8	13.6	0.25	16.0	15.3	0.67
Antonio Davis	92	89	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.28	11	-7	18	14.0	12.3	1.70	16.4	12.6	3.76
Kirk Hinrich	81	81	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.39	3	1	2	13.7	13.7	-0.03	15.8	15.5	0.26
Jamal Crawford	96	94	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.37	2	2	0	13.5	15.3	-1.80	15.9	14.7	1.19
Eddy Curry	90	90	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.33	-4	8	-12	13.6	14.2	-0.59	15.5	17.1	-1.64
Marcus Fizer	36	35	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.15	1	3	-2	13.3	13.9	-0.63	14.8	16.2	-1.39
Linton Johnson	26	27	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.01	1	3	-2	14.3	13.5	0.77	15.8	15.7	0.05
Ronald Dupree	60	56	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.09	-5	9	-14	13.7	13.7	-0.02	15.1	16.5	-1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.32,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.19,0.39,0.47,0.46,0.68,0.15,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.68,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 106, IND 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.29,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.31,0.24,0.46,0.31,0.16,0.33,0.26,0.54,0.69,0.79,0.76,0.92,1	87.1%
DAL 104, ORL 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.64,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.61,0.51,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.16,0.17,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.39,0.47,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.5,0.61,0.71,0.57,0.98,1	87.0%
IND 91, CHA 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.58,0.48,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.15,0.27,0.53,0.36,0.16,0.1,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.57,0.59,1	86.8%