inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 113 Excitement9.9 [41] MVPRaef LaFrentz (DEN): +26.6%
Denver Nuggets 117 Comeback26.5 [14] LVPAntonio McDyess (DEN): -41.1%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eddie Jones0.030,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.030.08-0.030.011174%0.152-0.121100%0.01
Sean Rooks-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.01250%0.021-0.03250%-0.01
Travis Knight-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.00-0.03-0.00367%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Kobe Bryant-0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.00-0.010.031563%0.084-0.131182%0.02
Corie Blount-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.08-0.00-0.0340%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal-0.060,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.03-0.10-0.001958%-0.031-0.031040%-0.14
Derek Fisher-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.00536%-0.032-0.0510%-0.01
Rick Fox-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.01-0.01812%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Derek Harper-0.280,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.19,-0.19,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28-0.08-0.22-0.02831%-0.172-0.1100%0.00
Elden Campbell-0.300,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,-0.2,-0.14,-0.21,-0.28,-0.3,-0.3-0.02-0.270.021757%-0.033-0.28875%-0.01

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Raef LaFrentz0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.27,0.270.270.110.15-0.00977%0.2700.00887%0.03
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.220.060.160.011559%0.231-0.024100%0.03
Danny Fortson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.020.06-0.00767%0.111-0.021080%0.02
Eric Washington0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.010.011067%0.103-0.074100%0.03
Cory Alexander0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00350%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Keon Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.03-0.02133%-0.011-0.04450%-0.02
Eric Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.040.00333%-0.021-0.0500%0.00
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.19-0.01-0.031637%-0.094-0.081173%0.00
Antonio McDyess0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.35,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41-0.41-0.00-0.390.021555%-0.331-0.081060%-0.30
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game26.22.532.316.529.41.535.22.424.6170.7
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.71.718.8163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +45.8%
LAL -9.2%
LAL -9.9%
DEN +36.6%
LAL -13.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALDENNBALALDENNBA
this game16.215.315.8113.0114.799.6
season14.915.5104.7100.7
opponent15.615.8107.6102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
LAL14.514.414.622.216.716.2
DEN12.217.617.313.816.715.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sean Rooks24240.32-0.821.14-0.0312-162814.816.7-1.8914.015.7-1.65
Rick Fox37390.12-0.620.73-0.035-91415.116.9-1.8214.515.8-1.30
Travis Knight2728-0.08-0.420.33-0.235-91413.817.1-3.3118.813.94.90
Derek Fisher2425-0.09-0.410.33-0.03-2-2017.116.01.1216.314.91.34
Corie Blount109-0.24-0.260.030.15-139-2215.516.3-0.818.415.9-7.48
Kobe Bryant8587-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.33-1-3216.514.52.0015.414.70.70
Derek Harper7677-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.36-2-2016.017.1-1.1214.916.3-1.34
Shaquille O'Neal6062-0.49-0.01-0.490.09-2016-3617.514.33.2214.716.1-1.42
Elden Campbell7475-0.600.10-0.70-0.755-91417.113.63.5316.113.12.98
Eddie Jones8384-0.660.16-0.83-0.40-95-1416.017.5-1.4915.115.8-0.69

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antonio McDyess68671.11-0.611.720.4323-194214.017.9-3.9317.214.32.92
Chauncey Billups81790.85-0.351.190.4115-112614.916.7-1.8316.515.11.44
Nick Van Exel77760.68-0.180.860.487-31015.215.4-0.1315.418.8-3.37
Eric Washington89890.54-0.040.580.2510-61615.513.52.0716.712.83.83
Raef LaFrentz78770.51-0.010.510.5104-415.713.72.0414.721.3-6.65
Eric Williams3835-0.100.60-0.690.05-59-1414.715.6-0.9716.716.00.75
Keon Clark1413-0.190.69-0.890.01-711-1815.915.20.7714.816.4-1.59
Cory Alexander1514-0.280.78-1.06-0.02-913-2216.715.01.6416.116.2-0.10
Danny Fortson5050-0.611.11-1.72-0.20-1418-3216.314.22.1117.315.12.22


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.31,0.24,0.18,0.31,0.17,0.04,0.27,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.85,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 101, NYK 1110.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.32,0.46,0.32,0.09,0.54,0.61,0.9,0.78,0.98,188.7%
MEM 86, PHI 890.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.75,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.35,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.05,0.46,0.76,0.64,0.84,0.91,188.6%
HOU 107, DET 1100.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.25,0.15,0.26,0.29,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.54,0.69,0.64,0.91,0.95,188.0%