NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	114		Excitement	9.9 [71]		MVP	Chandler Parsons (DAL): +45.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	110		Comeback	2.3 [222]		LVP	Jeff Green (MEM): -17.1%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chandler Parsons	0.46	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.28,0.28,0.46,0.46,0.46	0.20	0.25	-0.00	15	81%	0.48	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dwight Powell	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.06	0.03	3	100%	0.13	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Justin Anderson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.08	0.00	5	50%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jose Juan Barea	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.07	-0.02	5	36%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Deron Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.16,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.04	0.03	0.04	0.03	20	48%	0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.01	12	55%	0.02	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	17	45%	0.06	1	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	57%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Charlie Villanueva	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Salah Mejri	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	31%	-0.03	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.09	-0.01	7	67%	0.21	1	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.00	-0.02	10	85%	0.22	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	6	77%	0.12	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.02	0.03	12	57%	0.26	2	-0.21	4	50%	-0.01
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.08,0.18,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	15	61%	0.10	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	21	43%	-0.02	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	14	30%	-0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.1	2.5	29.0	14.8	26.2	2.4	33.9	1.8	16.2	153.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.3	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +3.4%

DAL +12.5%

MEM -8.2%

DAL +33.9%

DAL +8.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MEM	NBA	DAL	MEM	NBA
this game	15.9	15.9	14.9	111.8	112.2	105.1
season	15.5	15.7		105.0	103.4
opponent	14.8	14.7		106.7	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DAL	16.4	14.5	15.0	20.1	12.9	15.9
MEM	18.0	14.3	16.3	15.9	14.5	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chandler Parsons	80	74	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.41	2	2	0	16.5	14.0	2.46	16.1	15.2	0.82
Zaza Pachulia	58	55	0.45	0.06	0.39	0.42	1	3	-2	16.1	15.7	0.44	16.0	15.7	0.30
Dirk Nowitzki	68	67	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.13	7	-3	10	16.6	14.5	2.15	16.4	14.8	1.60
Justin Anderson	24	24	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.15	6	-2	8	15.9	15.9	-0.02	15.3	16.1	-0.76
Jose Juan Barea	32	33	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	-1	6	16.4	15.7	0.65	15.3	16.2	-0.90
Deron Williams	73	67	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.24	1	3	-2	16.0	15.8	0.15	16.3	14.9	1.41
Raymond Felton	64	64	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.43	-9	13	-22	15.9	16.0	-0.11	14.4	18.6	-4.12
Dwight Powell	27	28	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.07	8	-4	12	14.6	16.4	-1.87	16.2	15.7	0.44
Wesley Matthews	60	56	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	4	-4	15.1	17.1	-2.02	16.4	15.1	1.31
Salah Mejri	11	10	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	4	-4	11.7	16.4	-4.71	13.4	16.1	-2.75
JaVale McGee	13	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.01	-1	5	-6	17.2	15.7	1.49	17.8	15.6	2.24

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Courtney Lee	51	53	0.18	-0.68	0.87	-0.02	7	-11	18	17.1	14.6	2.48	15.6	16.3	-0.64
Zach Randolph	64	69	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.15	7	-11	18	16.0	15.6	0.43	16.0	15.9	0.08
Jeff Green	67	69	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.23	4	-8	12	14.7	18.4	-3.73	16.0	15.7	0.35
Mike Conley	61	64	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-6	8	16.1	15.5	0.66	16.9	14.4	2.49
Ryan Hollins	19	18	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	1	-6	15.4	16.0	-0.55	14.5	16.2	-1.74
Mario Chalmers	37	38	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-6	2	-8	15.5	16.1	-0.66	14.4	16.9	-2.49
Matt Barnes	70	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.39	3	-7	10	15.0	18.0	-2.94	16.3	15.2	1.13
Tony Allen	30	33	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.14	-12	8	-20	17.6	15.1	2.55	14.8	16.4	-1.60
Vince Carter	28	27	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.22	-10	6	-16	14.7	16.3	-1.56	16.0	15.9	0.14
Marc Gasol	63	69	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.29	-10	6	-16	16.7	14.3	2.42	16.5	14.7	1.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.62,0.47,0.26,0.24,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.28,0.46,0.32,0.28,0.15,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 112, SAC 108	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.14,0.13,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.25,0.15,0.1,0.08,0	88.0%
POR 94, ORL 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.19,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.54,0.24,0.22,0.32,0.09,0	87.7%
CHA 95, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.07,0.03,0.41,0.46,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.16,0	87.5%