inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Bobcats 95 Excitement9.4 [108] MVPRaymond Felton (CHA): +14.2%
San Antonio Spurs 92 Comeback1.5 [522] LVPTony Parker (SAS): -35.2%


Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Raymond Felton0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.140.050.10-0.001261%0.202-0.05475%0.00
Emeka Okafor0.030,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.030.020.020.011847%0.0300.00425%-0.07
Bernard Robinson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.010.00540%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Alan Anderson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Gerald Wallace-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.01941%-0.011-0.03475%0.01
Jake Voskuhl-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00125%-0.011-0.03250%-0.01
Adam Morrison-0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.050.02-0.060.012356%0.114-0.16250%-0.01
Sean May-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.080.00-0.021331%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Brevin Knight-0.110,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.11-0.07-0.030.001043%-0.033-0.08367%-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.110.110.020.100.002052%0.172-0.07667%0.00
Michael Finley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.06-0.07-0.011359%0.021-0.023100%0.02
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.00-0.00550%0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Francisco Elson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.00520%-0.051-0.0400%0.00
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.08-0.03-0.0040%-0.081-0.0300%0.00
Fabricio Oberto0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.10-0.04-0.0140%-0.072-0.0600%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16-0.16-0.07-0.070.021435%-0.111-0.056100%0.08
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23-0.23-0.10-0.130.00832%-0.103-0.12367%-0.01
Tony Parker0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.03,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28,-0.35,-0.35-0.35-0.04-0.280.032254%0.036-0.382100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.12.429.614.624.01.831.21.719.2148.6
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.01.917.4141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +72.8%
SAS -31.3%
SAS -42.3%
CHA +42.4%
CHA +8.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHASASNBACHASASNBA
this game16.814.615.494.190.2104.5
season15.716.2101.7107.5
opponent15.415.098.9105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
CHA17.413.816.820.015.916.8
SAS13.313.917.512.219.614.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Raymond Felton78790.55-0.050.600.299-61517.115.41.7114.813.90.87
Brevin Knight84860.53-0.030.550.4430317.214.82.3914.813.61.14
Emeka Okafor84860.420.080.350.4203-316.916.10.7615.111.63.51
Adam Morrison89920.410.090.330.304-1517.213.53.6914.812.52.32
Bernard Robinson38360.160.34-0.180.19-14-514.118.3-4.2014.214.8-0.65
Jake Voskuhl17160.080.42-0.35-0.0130316.116.9-0.7611.615.1-3.51
Gerald Wallace69710.030.47-0.44-0.0630317.714.73.0214.215.6-1.43
Alan Anderson109-0.070.57-0.630.02-36-914.317.0-2.7210.215.0-4.79
Sean May2727-0.110.61-0.730.06-69-1515.417.3-1.8914.314.7-0.35

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Beno Udrih24240.10-0.600.70-0.024-71113.714.9-1.1516.416.9-0.44
Brent Barry19170.03-0.530.560.06-1-2112.715.0-2.2815.816.9-1.12
Francisco Elson31310.03-0.530.550.030-3315.014.40.6415.817.2-1.32
Michael Finley6162-0.06-0.440.37-0.308-111914.315.0-0.6516.417.3-0.86
Fabricio Oberto3332-0.17-0.330.16-0.08-30-315.014.40.6517.716.31.41
Robert Horry3637-0.24-0.260.02-0.302-5713.415.3-1.9016.417.0-0.59
Manu Ginobili7776-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.380-3314.315.4-1.0817.115.61.53
Tim Duncan7675-0.500.00-0.50-0.38-41-515.212.72.6017.115.71.43
Tony Parker7877-0.600.10-0.70-0.40-74-1114.913.71.1516.916.40.44
Bruce Bowen7574-0.690.19-0.89-0.28-1411-2515.113.21.8616.617.1-0.44


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.07,0.03,0.41,0.46,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.16,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 112, BOS 1080.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.46,0.49,0.33,0.45,0.3,0.32,0.45,0.34,0.37,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.24,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.58,0.46,0.32,0.28,0.1,0.14,091.7%
POR 97, SAC 930.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.29,0.47,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.25,0.17,0.15,0.74,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.32,0.08,091.0%
SAC 108, UTA 1050.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.23,0.15,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.29,0.15,0.08,0.5,0.39,0.15,0.11,0.04,090.0%