NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	112		Excitement	9.3 [86]		MVP	Dana Barros (BOS): +28.6%
Boston Celtics	108		Comeback	1.9 [650]		LVP	Tyus Edney (BOS): -26.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rex Chapman	0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.12,0.15	0.13	0.04	0.02	15	75%	0.21	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Clifford Robinson	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.01	15	68%	0.14	1	-0.05	8	37%	-0.08
Danny Manning	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	12	54%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
George McCloud	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	12	54%	0.23	2	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Mark Bryant	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Johnson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	3	37%	0.02	1	-0.10	2	50%	-0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.14	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	11	50%	-0.04	5	-0.09	8	62%	-0.04
Jason Kidd	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.15	-0.02	-0.00	11	27%	-0.03	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.13	0.16	0.00	10	85%	0.33	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.02	-0.03	21	59%	0.15	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pervis Ellison	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Greg Minor	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	10	54%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.07,-0.19,-0.27,-0.31,-0.31,-0.2,-0.21	-0.21	-0.04	-0.17	-0.00	25	49%	-0.05	3	-0.16	5	40%	-0.05
Tyus Edney	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.06	-0.18	0.02	8	37%	-0.22	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.3	2.0	23.2	15.6	30.1	2.5	27.5	2.4	13.5	143.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	1.6	18.4	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +47.8%

PHX +6.8%

PHX +14.2%

BOS -24.3%

PHX +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	BOS	NBA	PHX	BOS	NBA
this game	14.3	15.8	15.6	105.7	102.9	102.5
season	15.0	15.1		105.3	100.2
opponent	15.1	15.9		103.0	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	13.6	14.2	14.5	15.3	13.9	14.3
BOS	14.1	17.7	15.5	16.7	14.7	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	66	62	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.21	14	-10	24	14.3	14.4	-0.06	15.8	15.8	0.07
Jason Kidd	92	92	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.40	7	-3	10	13.8	17.9	-4.05	15.9	15.5	0.40
Danny Manning	57	59	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	-7	18	13.1	15.8	-2.67	15.5	16.2	-0.65
Mark Bryant	30	31	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.19	4	0	4	14.7	14.2	0.50	16.4	15.6	0.82
Antonio McDyess	48	49	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.38	-3	7	-10	14.3	14.4	-0.05	14.9	16.6	-1.67
Cedric Ceballos	18	18	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.01	9	-5	14	16.1	14.0	2.13	17.8	15.4	2.38
Rex Chapman	83	81	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.29	-3	7	-10	13.9	16.1	-2.23	15.4	17.2	-1.87
Kevin Johnson	64	61	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.31	-8	12	-20	15.3	12.8	2.49	16.2	15.3	0.92
Steve Nash	23	23	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.07	0	4	-4	14.8	14.2	0.57	15.3	16.0	-0.70
George McCloud	49	49	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	0.02	-11	15	-26	15.3	13.5	1.76	16.3	15.4	0.93

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Thomas	20	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-4	4	15.7	15.8	-0.07	12.9	14.6	-1.70
Greg Minor	18	19	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-5	6	13.6	16.3	-2.65	14.9	14.2	0.68
Dee Brown	45	44	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-2	0	16.6	15.2	1.46	15.3	13.7	1.60
Dana Barros	73	75	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.42	8	-12	20	15.5	16.5	-0.95	14.1	14.9	-0.80
Pervis Ellison	32	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.00	-7	3	-10	14.8	16.3	-1.48	13.8	14.6	-0.75
Chauncey Billups	10	9	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.07	-10	6	-16	19.2	15.5	3.75	12.6	14.5	-1.95
Travis Knight	43	45	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.22	-1	-3	2	15.9	15.8	0.09	14.0	14.6	-0.55
Walter McCarty	52	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	3	-10	16.6	15.0	1.63	13.8	14.8	-0.99
Tyus Edney	48	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.32	1	-5	6	15.4	16.2	-0.84	14.7	14.0	0.68
Antoine Walker	93	95	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.44	5	-9	14	15.6	17.3	-1.72	14.9	9.1	5.86
Ron Mercer	91	93	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.35	-8	4	-12	16.0	14.5	1.51	14.2	15.2	-0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.46,0.49,0.33,0.45,0.3,0.32,0.45,0.34,0.37,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.24,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.58,0.46,0.32,0.28,0.1,0.14,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 95, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.07,0.03,0.41,0.46,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.16,0	91.7%
POR 97, SAC 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.29,0.47,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.25,0.17,0.15,0.74,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.32,0.08,0	89.9%
NYK 103, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.3,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.19,0.34,0.57,0.59,0.54,0.38,0.28,0.06,0.16,0	89.7%