NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	103		Excitement	10.6 [31]		MVP	Glen Rice (NYK): +21.8%
Miami Heat	100		Comeback	2.2 [332]		LVP	Tim Hardaway (MIA): -61.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22	0.23	-0.00	0.00	15	83%	0.22	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Charlie Ward	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.11	0.01	11	73%	0.23	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Travis Knight	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	60%	0.01	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Larry Johnson	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15	-0.08	-0.04	0.03	11	41%	-0.07	2	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2	-0.05	-0.14	-0.00	11	52%	-0.14	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.05
Chris Childs	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.05	-0.16	0.00	3	33%	-0.17	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.35	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35	-0.05	-0.30	0.01	13	53%	-0.25	3	-0.10	6	83%	-0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	87%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	57%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Mason	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.01	10	70%	0.06	3	-0.09	10	90%	0.03
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	7	60%	0.02	3	-0.08	11	82%	0.02
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.12	-0.12	0.06	-0.18	0.00	8	67%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.17
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.28,-0.55,-0.61,-0.61,-0.61,-0.61,-0.61	-0.61	-0.11	-0.49	0.00	18	47%	-0.48	4	-0.13	9	78%	-0.22
Tim Hardaway	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.34,-0.34,-0.43,-0.43,-0.38,-0.62	-0.62	-0.14	-0.48	-0.00	21	36%	-0.36	4	-0.26	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	29.1	2.5	33.3	21.7	27.2	2.6	43.8	2.6	23.2	186.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	1.7	17.2	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +21.4%

NYK +23.5%

MIA -3.3%

NYK +11.2%

MIA -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIA	NBA	NYK	MIA	NBA
this game	17.3	16.2	15.5	109.6	104.2	100.9
season	16.4	16.3		99.2	98.4
opponent	16.1	16.1		96.9	96.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NYK	15.5	16.1	16.3	21.3	18.4	17.3
MIA	15.2	18.1	16.4	16.6	13.4	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Johnson	79	79	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.56	5	-2	7	17.7	14.8	2.95	16.1	16.9	-0.89
Charlie Ward	60	63	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.45	4	-1	5	16.5	18.6	-2.15	15.2	18.1	-2.87
Latrell Sprewell	65	67	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.38	5	-2	7	17.3	17.2	0.05	16.1	16.4	-0.24
Glen Rice	60	63	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.45	2	1	1	17.6	16.7	0.85	16.1	16.5	-0.38
Marcus Camby	67	66	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.33	0	3	-3	17.3	17.1	0.18	16.8	14.8	2.00
Othella Harrington	29	30	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.01	3	0	3	17.1	17.4	-0.30	15.7	16.4	-0.69
Travis Knight	0	1	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	3	-3	0.0	17.3	-17.28	16.0	16.2	-0.21
Chris Childs	40	40	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	6	-9	18.6	16.3	2.26	17.4	15.3	2.09
Allan Houston	70	71	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.27	-1	4	-5	16.4	19.7	-3.32	16.4	15.7	0.66

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Carter	26	25	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.19	1	-4	5	17.0	15.9	1.09	17.6	17.2	0.44
Eddie Jones	82	82	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	0	-3	16.2	16.1	0.16	17.3	16.9	0.41
A.C. Green	22	20	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.13	-5	2	-7	16.0	16.3	-0.33	17.6	17.2	0.41
Tim Hardaway	77	76	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.33	1	-4	5	16.1	16.8	-0.79	17.1	17.9	-0.83
Brian Grant	75	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.21	-5	2	-7	16.4	15.5	0.88	17.0	18.5	-1.51
Bruce Bowen	67	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.28	-3	0	-3	16.6	15.3	1.24	17.9	16.0	1.90
Anthony Mason	93	91	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.45	2	-5	7	16.1	21.0	-4.95	17.4	13.0	4.42
Dan Majerle	38	37	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	0	-3	15.4	16.7	-1.30	16.3	17.9	-1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.3,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.19,0.34,0.57,0.59,0.54,0.38,0.28,0.06,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 110, WAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.48,0.4,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.21,0.55,0.42,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.22,0.07,0	91.6%
IND 93, PHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.27,0.34,0.27,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.37,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.37,0.22,0.09,0	90.1%
PHX 112, BOS 108	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.46,0.49,0.33,0.45,0.3,0.32,0.45,0.34,0.37,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.24,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.58,0.46,0.32,0.28,0.1,0.14,0	89.7%