NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	93		Excitement	10.2 [47]		MVP	Jalen Rose (IND): +28.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	90		Comeback	2.2 [528]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -42.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.31,0.29	-0.04	0.30	-0.02	9	50%	0.32	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.03
Fred Hoiberg	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.11	0.07	-0.02	9	22%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mullin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	10	67%	0.09	5	-0.13	1	0%	-0.03
Derrick McKey	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Miller	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.24,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	16	39%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	100%	0.09
Travis Best	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.1	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	9	63%	0.14	4	-0.24	9	78%	0.04
Rik Smits	-0.14	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	10	46%	-0.13	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.03
Antonio Davis	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.13	-0.08	-0.00	6	35%	-0.18	1	-0.03	11	55%	-0.06

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.08	-0.00	15	58%	0.15	5	-0.12	6	67%	0.09
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	13	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.11
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.07	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	4	38%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.15,-0.22	-0.22	-0.05	-0.17	-0.01	11	40%	-0.18	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.03
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.26,-0.26,-0.23	-0.23	-0.15	-0.08	0.00	11	55%	0.04	7	-0.26	11	91%	0.03
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.36,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42	-0.42	-0.15	-0.26	0.00	11	25%	-0.33	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.2	2.6	26.2	15.8	25.3	2.5	47.2	2.5	18.4	162.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	1.6	18.4	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +61.7%

PHI -22.2%

IND +13.1%

PHI -9.8%

IND +7.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHI	NBA	IND	PHI	NBA
this game	15.7	14.2	15.6	88.6	83.3	102.5
season	16.0	15.4		105.3	99.7
opponent	15.5	16.1		102.1	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	16.0	15.0	15.8	16.3	15.1	15.7
PHI	14.0	13.2	16.2	13.2	14.9	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	58	58	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.51	9	-6	15	16.0	15.4	0.64	14.1	14.2	-0.06
Travis Best	47	47	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.43	3	0	3	14.7	16.6	-1.87	14.0	14.3	-0.37
Reggie Miller	75	77	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.36	5	-2	7	16.0	14.9	1.09	14.3	13.8	0.55
Antonio Davis	67	70	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.35	1	2	-1	15.2	16.6	-1.40	14.1	14.2	-0.11
Chris Mullin	38	39	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.02	10	-7	17	15.7	15.7	-0.09	15.8	13.2	2.63
Jalen Rose	67	69	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.39	-7	10	-17	15.7	15.7	0.09	13.2	15.8	-2.63
Derrick McKey	28	30	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	2	-1	14.3	16.2	-1.95	15.1	13.8	1.29
Fred Hoiberg	30	31	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	4	-5	14.9	16.0	-1.09	13.8	14.3	-0.55
Mark Jackson	58	61	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	3	-3	16.6	14.7	1.87	14.3	14.0	0.37
Rik Smits	57	58	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.10	-6	9	-15	16.7	14.5	2.20	13.8	14.6	-0.88

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Williams	9	8	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-5	7	10.9	14.5	-3.58	14.9	15.8	-0.91
Terry Cummings	12	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-2	1	15.0	14.1	0.94	15.7	15.7	0.04
Eric Snow	24	23	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-3	3	14.0	14.2	-0.21	14.8	16.0	-1.14
Clar. Weatherspoon	35	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.12	2	-5	7	14.2	14.2	0.05	15.5	15.8	-0.28
Mark Davis	31	31	-0.14	-0.35	0.21	-0.12	-1	-2	1	14.9	13.9	1.03	13.8	16.5	-2.66
Aaron McKie	26	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	3	-9	14.7	14.0	0.74	12.4	16.8	-4.37
Jim Jackson	84	81	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.34	0	-3	3	13.7	15.7	-1.93	16.5	13.2	3.25
Tim Thomas	75	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.44	1	-4	5	14.1	14.2	-0.07	16.6	13.6	3.05
Theo Ratliff	79	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.29	-5	2	-7	14.2	14.0	0.23	16.4	14.2	2.16
Derrick Coleman	80	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.40	-1	-2	1	14.4	13.4	1.00	15.5	16.4	-0.94
Allen Iverson	85	82	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.36	-6	3	-9	14.1	14.3	-0.17	16.0	14.8	1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.27,0.34,0.27,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.37,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.37,0.22,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 103, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.3,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.19,0.34,0.57,0.59,0.54,0.38,0.28,0.06,0.16,0	90.1%
BOS 110, WAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.48,0.4,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.21,0.55,0.42,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.22,0.07,0	89.6%
NJN 110, IND 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.19,0.28,0.16,0.15,0.46,0.46,0.21,0.09,0,0	89.1%