NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	117		Excitement	4.9 [855]		MVP	Courtney Lee (MEM): +18.8%
Memphis Grizzlies	121		Comeback	1.0 [1011]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): -20.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.13	0.01	0.05	12	68%	0.10	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.04
Quincy Acy	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darren Collison	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01	0.04	0.01	0.04	14	59%	0.14	2	-0.13	6	83%	-0.01
Omri Casspi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	0.08	0.01	0.09	12	63%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Willie Cauley-Stein	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	14	50%	-0.02	7	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.15,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.20	-0.07	-0.06	17	35%	-0.13	6	-0.08	14	71%	-0.04

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.08	0.05	5	112%	0.21	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.05
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15	0.15	0.22	-0.02	0.05	16	81%	0.16	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.02	-0.04	14	61%	0.17	3	-0.06	8	100%	0.03
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	0.00	0.05	8	76%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	8	62%	0.07	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	8	55%	0.02	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	6	50%	0.08	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	7	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	7	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.5	31.5	15.4	26.6	2.4	41.4	146.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +46.2%

MEM +9.8%

SAC -19.3%

MEM +15.3%

SAC -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MEM	NBA	SAC	MEM	NBA
this game	12.3	14.5	14.9	109.3	112.0	105.1
season	13.9	15.7		104.8	103.4
opponent	14.8	14.6		106.7	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.2	11.7	13.5	11.0	12.3
MEM	15.6	14.0	14.2	14.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Acy	25	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.14	4	-8	12	11.8	12.5	-0.68	13.5	14.7	-1.23
James Anderson	39	42	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-8	12	11.8	12.6	-0.78	14.9	14.2	0.76
Willie Cauley-Stein	34	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	2	-8	13.2	11.9	1.30	14.9	14.2	0.71
Darren Collison	65	64	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.50	10	-14	24	11.5	13.5	-2.02	14.1	14.9	-0.79
Omri Casspi	62	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.34	1	-5	6	11.8	13.0	-1.22	13.8	15.3	-1.50
DeMarcus Cousins	66	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-1	-2	13.3	10.7	2.61	14.5	14.4	0.16
Kosta Koufos	30	30	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	7	-18	12.3	12.3	0.02	15.1	14.2	0.84
Rudy Gay	84	85	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.38	1	-5	6	12.2	12.7	-0.54	15.0	12.7	2.30
Rajon Rondo	71	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.10	-9	5	-14	12.3	12.3	-0.02	14.3	14.8	-0.45
Ben McLemore	59	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	7	-18	12.8	11.7	1.11	14.4	14.6	-0.20

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Courtney Lee	78	78	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-8	20	14.3	14.9	-0.65	11.6	14.3	-2.78
Marc Gasol	76	77	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.16	8	-4	12	14.4	14.7	-0.27	11.8	13.7	-1.87
Zach Randolph	54	54	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.12	9	-5	14	15.6	13.4	2.19	12.5	12.2	0.33
Mike Conley	69	68	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	3	-2	14.2	15.0	-0.84	12.6	11.8	0.86
Tony Allen	62	62	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.22	3	1	2	14.0	15.1	-1.12	11.7	13.2	-1.45
Mario Chalmers	39	39	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	1	2	15.0	14.2	0.84	11.8	12.6	-0.86
Jeff Green	63	61	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.25	-3	7	-10	14.0	15.0	-1.00	12.3	12.3	-0.01
Matt Barnes	47	47	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	5	-6	13.7	15.0	-1.35	12.9	11.8	1.10
Vince Carter	31	29	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.22	-6	10	-16	15.6	14.0	1.61	14.0	11.7	2.31
Ryan Hollins	21	20	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.20	-6	10	-16	15.3	14.3	1.02	14.8	11.7	3.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.88,0.67,0.75,0.93,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 99, CLE 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.97,0.95,1	94.8%
DEN 103, SAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.83,0.89,0.89,0.98,0.99,1	93.9%
POR 97, GSW 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,1	93.9%