inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 94 Excitement4.8 [878] MVPMarcus Smart (BOS): +16.2%
Boston Celtics 113 Comeback1.2 [1133] LVPIsaiah Thomas (BOS): -9.0%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Aaron Gordon0.030,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.00-0.00-0.03955%0.052-0.024100%0.02
Elfrid Payton0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.000.011155%0.0300.0000%0.00
Victor Oladipo0.020,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.010.01652%0.0200.00978%-0.01
Keith Appling0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Dewayne Dedmon0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andrew Nicholson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03325%0.0000.002100%0.00
Mario Hezonja-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.04-0.00-0.04250%0.022-0.0200%0.00
Nikola Vucevic-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.021150%0.022-0.036100%0.04
Shabazz Napier-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.050.000.07872%0.012-0.0320%0.00
Channing Frye-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.00-0.001100%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Evan Fournier-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.00744%-0.011-0.02450%-0.02
Tobias Harris-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.01-0.021238%0.012-0.042100%0.01
Jason Smith-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.01650%0.022-0.0600%0.00

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marcus Smart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.080.04-0.05970%0.1620.00560%0.01
Jae Crowder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.100.02-0.001168%0.1300.0000%0.00
Evan Turner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.060.04-0.01779%0.173-0.055100%0.03
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.040.011262%0.121-0.03250%-0.01
Jonas Jerebko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.140.000.064130%0.101-0.022100%0.01
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.00362%0.0300.00250%-0.02
RJ Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tyler Zeller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03425%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jared Sullinger0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.02-0.010.021052%0.011-0.021100%0.00
Avery Bradley0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.010.02933%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Isaiah Thomas0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.011444%0.014-0.104100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.52.330.515.426.52.525.4125.1
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +46.2%
BOS +0.0%
ORL -4.0%
BOS +6.0%
BOS +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLBOSNBAORLBOSNBA
this game14.614.214.994.0113.0105.1
season14.613.9103.6104.5
opponent15.014.9101.9105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL17.212.315.413.814.6
BOS13.514.913.914.414.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Keith Appling14150.00-0.500.50-0.186-253112.415.0-2.6015.214.01.16
Dewayne Dedmon14150.00-0.500.50-0.186-253112.415.0-2.6015.214.01.16
Andrew Nicholson14150.00-0.500.50-0.186-253112.415.0-2.6015.214.01.16
Elfrid Payton5960-0.08-0.420.340.13-7-12514.414.8-0.3614.413.90.43
Tobias Harris5757-0.17-0.330.170.10-9-10115.313.61.6914.014.4-0.41
Channing Frye2221-0.19-0.310.110.07-9-10113.514.9-1.3413.614.4-0.75
Aaron Gordon5454-0.24-0.260.020.23-16-3-1316.013.03.0214.214.3-0.09
Nikola Vucevic6161-0.25-0.250.000.16-14-5-915.613.12.4813.914.8-0.92
Jason Smith2524-0.25-0.25-0.000.07-11-8-313.515.0-1.4814.514.10.38
Victor Oladipo5959-0.29-0.21-0.090.15-15-4-1115.113.81.2914.014.5-0.43
Shabazz Napier3736-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.08-8-11314.414.7-0.3414.214.2-0.02
Mario Hezonja4544-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.06-9-10113.715.3-1.5614.214.20.03
Evan Fournier3939-0.39-0.11-0.280.05-15-4-1114.414.7-0.2914.114.3-0.22

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kelly Olynyk44420.52-0.020.54-0.3329-103914.514.00.4813.815.2-1.39
Evan Turner53530.51-0.010.52-0.2225-63114.414.00.4413.815.5-1.66
Marcus Smart62610.51-0.010.52-0.1924-52914.014.6-0.6013.516.2-2.69
Avery Bradley66670.320.180.14-0.241901914.713.31.3415.313.12.24
Jonas Jerebko46470.310.190.11-0.161631315.013.51.5013.315.8-2.52
Isaiah Thomas55560.200.30-0.100.08415-1114.014.4-0.4315.413.61.74
Jae Crowder56570.160.34-0.170.10217-1513.415.3-1.9015.613.22.38
RJ Hunter770.000.50-0.500.09-322-2513.914.2-0.3812.414.8-2.32
James Young14130.000.50-0.500.18-625-3115.314.01.2511.815.0-3.24
Tyler Zeller13130.000.50-0.500.21-726-3314.814.10.7311.815.0-3.24
Jared Sullinger4242-0.000.50-0.510.11-423-2714.414.10.2915.813.72.02
Amir Johnson4242-0.030.53-0.560.09-423-2713.115.0-1.9216.713.03.70


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.84,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 78, DEN 920.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,196.0%
WAS 80, SAS 940.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
PHX 75, NOP 900.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.67,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,195.5%