NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	75		Excitement	5.0 [801]		MVP	Eric Gordon (NOP): +10.4%
New Orleans Pelicans	90		Comeback	1.3 [1122]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (NOP): -14.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
PJ Tucker	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	10	55%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brandan Wright	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerel McNeal	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Barron	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
TJ Warren	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	11	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	14	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	12	46%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Archie Goodwin	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	19	45%	-0.03	4	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.04	-0.03	14	52%	0.11	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	6	92%	0.11	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	8	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	12	54%	0.07	0	0.00	11	45%	-0.02
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.02	-0.02	4	70%	0.07	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Babbitt	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	21%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	7	21%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	7	14%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.05	0.03	14	47%	-0.04	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.5	28.2	14.4	24.2	1.0	25.2	118.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +26.7%

NOP +2.3%

NOP +18.1%

NOP +0.4%

NOP +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	NOP	NBA	PHX	NOP	NBA
this game	16.2	17.2	15.1	87.2	104.7	104.2
season	14.4	15.8		103.7	106.3
opponent	15.2	15.0		106.1	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	18.3	13.2	15.1	19.1	16.2
NOP	16.0	18.1	16.2	18.8	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerel McNeal	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-17	19	21.5	16.1	5.38	18.7	17.2	1.47
Reggie Bullock	13	14	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-15	15	14.7	16.5	-1.83	18.8	16.9	1.84
Gerald Green	22	23	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-11	7	15.8	16.4	-0.57	16.7	17.4	-0.69
Brandan Wright	50	49	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	-8	1	16.6	15.7	0.85	17.6	16.8	0.81
Markieff Morris	50	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-11	7	16.4	16.0	0.37	18.3	15.8	2.52
PJ Tucker	56	56	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-13	11	15.9	17.0	-1.11	19.1	13.7	5.44
Earl Barron	18	20	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	-7	-1	15.6	16.4	-0.87	13.0	18.5	-5.53
Marcus Morris	54	54	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-3	-9	15.8	17.0	-1.15	16.9	17.8	-0.86
Archie Goodwin	41	39	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.05	-11	-4	-7	17.2	15.3	1.91	15.5	18.7	-3.26
Eric Bledsoe	71	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	-4	-7	15.5	19.9	-4.39	17.9	14.3	3.53
TJ Warren	53	51	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.08	-18	3	-21	17.5	14.3	3.15	16.0	19.0	-3.01

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Norris Cole	43	42	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.25	8	7	1	16.4	18.1	-1.70	17.5	15.0	2.55
Dante Cunningham	56	56	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.08	17	-2	19	17.1	17.5	-0.34	16.3	16.1	0.27
Jrue Holiday	30	29	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.00	14	1	13	15.6	18.1	-2.58	16.7	16.0	0.72
Anthony Davis	39	39	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.17	15	0	15	17.5	17.0	0.44	18.5	14.4	4.10
Omer Asik	41	41	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.04	6	9	-3	16.4	18.0	-1.68	16.1	16.4	-0.28
Alexis Ajinca	21	21	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	13	-11	16.3	17.6	-1.27	15.0	16.6	-1.58
Eric Gordon	60	61	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.10	10	5	5	18.3	14.7	3.66	16.2	16.3	-0.11
Ryan Anderson	36	35	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	13	-11	17.4	17.1	0.25	13.9	17.8	-3.88
Luke Babbitt	4	5	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.12	0	15	-15	11.7	17.5	-5.76	18.4	16.1	2.29
Tyreke Evans	47	48	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.20	8	7	1	17.8	16.5	1.29	15.8	16.8	-1.07
Quincy Pondexter	49	49	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.00	1	14	-13	18.5	15.6	2.85	15.1	17.8	-2.70
Jimmer Fredette	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	19	-23	18.0	17.2	0.77	21.5	16.1	5.38
Toney Douglas	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	19	-23	18.0	17.2	0.77	21.5	16.1	5.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.67,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 94, BOS 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.84,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
SAC 83, MIA 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.82,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
LAC 78, DEN 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%