inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 83 Excitement4.7 [906] MVPEddie Jones (MIA): +16.4%
Miami Heat 104 Comeback1.2 [1086] LVPShaquille O'Neal (MIA): -11.1%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.020.031461%0.051-0.0000%0.00
Maurice Evans0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.00-0.03333%0.0200.0000%0.00
Kevin Martin0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brian Skinner-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.010.020.04757%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Darius Songaila-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.011040%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Eddie House-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.000.02456%-0.011-0.021100%0.01
Greg Ostertag-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.01-0.0210%-0.022-0.0300%0.00
Mike Bibby-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.020.011558%0.023-0.07875%0.02
Peja Stojakovic-0.060,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.010.011545%-0.031-0.03367%-0.01
Corliss Williamson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.09-0.01-0.0360%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Kenny Thomas-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.11-0.02-0.05640%-0.004-0.07367%-0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eddie Jones0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.120.04-0.011085%0.192-0.0300%0.00
Damon Jones0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.050.06-0.011070%0.172-0.0400%0.00
Christian Laettner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.060.010.05769%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Rasual Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0000.00450%0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.02-0.010.011658%0.062-0.06683%0.01
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02425%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Shandon Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.03-0.010.04757%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Keyon Dooling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.08-0.00-0.05733%-0.011-0.02450%-0.01
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.12-0.03-0.041742%-0.082-0.03922%-0.12
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.63.430.518.428.63.627.4134.4
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +48.5%
SAC -5.4%
MIA +2.4%
MIA +6.9%
SAC -2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACMIANBASACMIANBA
this game15.216.115.591.2111.8104.0
season14.715.7108.1107.9
opponent15.515.6101.1106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC14.515.814.915.315.2
MIA16.113.017.818.116.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Martin440.00-0.500.500.000-212117.015.11.9318.516.02.47
Greg Ostertag1819-0.01-0.490.480.02-1-201915.915.00.9214.416.6-2.16
Eddie House2121-0.04-0.460.430.08-4-171316.114.91.2214.816.5-1.78
Maurice Evans1920-0.16-0.340.180.07-8-13517.014.72.3314.516.6-2.03
Cuttino Mobley6364-0.17-0.330.16-0.05-4-171315.015.5-0.4516.216.00.25
Kenny Thomas4344-0.20-0.300.100.18-13-8-516.014.41.5615.416.8-1.39
Corliss Williamson3636-0.22-0.280.070.22-15-6-914.915.3-0.4815.816.3-0.50
Darius Songaila5455-0.37-0.13-0.240.01-13-8-514.516.1-1.6517.114.72.42
Brian Skinner6768-0.42-0.08-0.350.01-15-6-915.015.7-0.7016.315.70.57
Peja Stojakovic6062-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.01-15-6-914.815.9-1.1416.615.21.37
Mike Bibby7072-0.46-0.04-0.430.03-17-4-1314.916.1-1.2216.514.81.78

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eddie Jones68680.480.020.45-0.081921716.116.3-0.2515.314.80.50
Shaquille O'Neal62620.410.090.33-0.02156916.116.2-0.1315.015.5-0.48
Udonis Haslem74720.400.100.31-0.131831516.714.12.6215.115.5-0.40
Damon Jones55550.390.110.270.061110116.216.10.1014.815.6-0.80
Shandon Anderson50490.340.160.18-0.161741316.116.2-0.0415.115.2-0.02
Dwyane Wade64610.180.32-0.140.01615-916.116.3-0.2014.915.7-0.77
Keyon Dooling38360.110.39-0.27-0.181011-116.116.2-0.1015.614.80.80
Christian Laettner15150.100.40-0.310.01318-1512.916.8-3.9015.115.2-0.10
Michael Doleac25240.090.41-0.33-0.03417-1315.416.4-1.0115.515.00.53
Rasual Butler440.000.50-0.500.00021-2118.516.02.4717.015.11.93
Alonzo Mourning650.000.50-0.50-0.06219-1719.715.93.7715.215.20.05
Wang Zhi-zhi440.000.50-0.500.00021-2118.516.02.4717.015.11.93


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.82,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 93, DEN 1040.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%
ORL 94, BOS 1130.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.84,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%
WAS 80, SAS 940.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%