NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	78		Excitement	4.9 [849]		MVP	Danilo Gallinari (DEN): +9.0%
Denver Nuggets	92		Comeback	1.1 [784]		LVP	Caron Butler (LAC): -8.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Bledsoe	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	7	86%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	2	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Ryan Hollins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	61%	0.02	1	-0.02	10	30%	-0.12
Chris Paul	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	9	53%	0.04	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	10	41%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.13	0.02	-0.05	11	32%	0.01	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Lamar Odom	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	31%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Willie Green	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.02	-0.04	9	11%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.03	11	41%	-0.06	1	-0.03	7	57%	0.01
Caron Butler	-0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	9	39%	-0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.03	-0.04	15	50%	0.13	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.03	10	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Randolph	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	14	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	9	67%	0.08	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	11	54%	0.02	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	10	48%	-0.00	3	-0.07	5	20%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	29.5	15.7	26.8	1.6	29.2	128.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +40.4%

DEN +1.7%

DEN +12.9%

LAC -4.5%

LAC -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DEN	NBA	LAC	DEN	NBA
this game	14.6	17.3	15.4	87.6	101.1	104.1
season	15.6	14.4		109.0	108.4
opponent	15.4	15.7		104.0	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.0	12.2	15.4	14.2	14.6
DEN	17.3	18.3	14.6	19.4	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Hollins	5	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-15	16	10.0	14.9	-4.90	19.6	17.2	2.39
Caron Butler	49	50	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-14	14	14.9	14.3	0.60	17.3	17.4	-0.09
DeAndre Jordan	47	50	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.10	0	-14	14	15.2	14.0	1.19	17.4	17.3	0.04
Willie Green	32	33	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.06	-2	-12	10	15.1	14.4	0.77	16.5	17.8	-1.25
Chris Paul	61	64	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.08	-2	-12	10	15.3	13.1	2.27	17.3	17.5	-0.20
Blake Griffin	50	54	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	-10	6	15.2	13.8	1.39	17.9	16.5	1.39
Lamar Odom	38	36	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-3	-8	14.9	14.5	0.42	16.1	18.2	-2.13
Ronny Turiaf	28	27	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.01	-12	-2	-10	13.4	15.2	-1.86	16.6	17.6	-1.01
Jamal Crawford	52	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	-4	-6	14.0	15.5	-1.47	18.2	16.1	2.17
Eric Bledsoe	33	32	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	0	-14	13.8	15.1	-1.34	16.8	17.6	-0.86
Matt Barnes	50	51	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	2	-18	14.2	15.2	-0.93	17.8	16.7	1.10

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaVale McGee	32	33	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.02	17	-3	20	15.7	18.2	-2.45	16.1	13.7	2.37
Corey Brewer	51	50	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.01	16	-2	18	17.8	16.7	1.10	14.2	15.2	-0.93
Andre Miller	77	76	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	1	12	17.1	18.6	-1.45	15.2	11.4	3.80
Danilo Gallinari	63	61	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	5	4	17.8	16.2	1.58	15.3	13.2	2.01
Kosta Koufos	44	42	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.12	6	8	-2	16.5	18.1	-1.63	14.8	14.5	0.34
Andre Iguodala	68	65	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	10	-6	17.7	16.3	1.33	15.2	13.0	2.17
Evan Fournier	17	18	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.05	4	10	-6	15.6	17.7	-2.08	12.7	15.1	-2.46
Timofey Mozgov	24	23	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.04	7	7	0	18.1	17.1	1.07	13.7	15.0	-1.26
Kenneth Faried	66	64	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.09	1	13	-12	17.9	15.8	2.18	14.7	14.4	0.32
Anthony Randolph	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	15	-16	17.0	17.4	-0.35	4.3	15.0	-10.66
Jordan Hamilton	10	10	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	20	-26	17.2	17.4	-0.16	7.3	15.6	-8.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 94, BOS 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.84,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
BKN 86, ATL 114	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.81,0.87,0.84,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
WAS 80, SAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%