NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	109		Excitement	6.2 [589]		MVP	Deron Williams (DAL): +16.8%
Dallas Mavericks	106		Comeback	3.6 [593]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -11.4%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.13	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.13	0.02	0.10	-0.01	21	55%	0.22	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Enes Kanter	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	10	73%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Dion Waiters	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	10	59%	0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Andre Roberson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	11	64%	0.10	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	60%	0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Kyle Singler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	7	59%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Cameron Payne	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	10	40%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	19	42%	-0.03	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.23,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.09	0.01	16	65%	0.20	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13	0.13	0.18	-0.02	0.03	16	68%	0.15	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	6	79%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Salah Mejri	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	1	83%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	6	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	-0.00	15	47%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	-0.09	0.02	14	43%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.5	26.5	15.4	25.4	1.7	32.7	127.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +42.5%

DAL -6.5%

OKC +26.9%

DAL -14.8%

OKC +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	DAL	NBA	OKC	DAL	NBA
this game	15.5	14.7	14.9	114.7	110.4	105.1
season	14.4	15.5		111.5	105.0
opponent	14.7	15.1		106.5	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	15.5	17.5	14.3	14.8	15.5
DAL	15.8	14.6	15.1	13.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Enes Kanter	48	48	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.07	13	-10	23	15.4	15.5	-0.07	15.0	14.4	0.58
Dion Waiters	71	72	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.31	3	0	3	15.0	16.9	-1.93	14.3	15.7	-1.42
Serge Ibaka	75	76	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.37	1	2	-1	14.9	17.5	-2.63	14.7	14.4	0.30
Kevin Durant	76	78	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.42	-1	4	-5	14.9	17.7	-2.83	14.6	14.9	-0.32
Nick Collison	40	41	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.12	9	-6	15	16.9	14.4	2.55	14.9	14.5	0.33
Cameron Payne	27	27	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.01	12	-9	21	15.8	15.3	0.48	13.7	15.1	-1.42
Russell Westbrook	68	69	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.40	-9	12	-21	15.3	15.8	-0.48	15.1	13.7	1.42
Andre Roberson	24	24	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	3	-3	16.9	15.0	1.93	15.7	14.3	1.42
Kyle Singler	46	45	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.25	-13	16	-29	16.1	14.9	1.15	14.2	15.1	-0.92

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raymond Felton	17	17	0.29	-0.79	1.08	-0.06	12	-15	27	13.9	14.8	-0.91	18.9	14.7	4.22
Salah Mejri	17	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.37	12	-15	27	12.8	15.1	-2.34	14.8	15.6	-0.79
JaVale McGee	27	26	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	0	-3	14.1	14.9	-0.75	17.3	14.8	2.53
Zaza Pachulia	49	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	3	-9	15.7	13.7	2.01	15.3	15.7	-0.39
Dwight Powell	13	12	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.14	-12	9	-21	17.0	14.3	2.67	14.1	15.7	-1.59
Deron Williams	73	72	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.41	6	-9	15	14.9	14.1	0.79	15.2	16.3	-1.15
Wesley Matthews	72	70	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.45	6	-9	15	14.6	15.0	-0.47	15.2	16.2	-0.99
Jose Juan Barea	43	43	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	3	-9	13.7	15.5	-1.79	16.0	15.0	1.00
Dirk Nowitzki	58	59	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.20	-7	4	-11	14.7	14.6	0.14	15.2	16.0	-0.85
Chandler Parsons	73	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.58	5	-8	13	14.4	15.7	-1.33	15.8	14.4	1.39
Devin Harris	38	37	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.11	-22	19	-41	15.7	14.0	1.69	13.9	16.5	-2.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.7,0.73,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.11,0.06,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 109, MEM 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0	93.2%
MEM 112, DET 84	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.08,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	92.9%
NJN 89, CHH 80	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.22,0.27,0.33,0.21,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	92.3%