NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	89		Excitement	4.6 [880]		MVP	Elden Campbell (CHH): +6.9%
Charlotte Hornets	80		Comeback	2.5 [350]		LVP	Baron Davis (CHH): -18.2%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Collins	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	14	53%	0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Kerry Kittles	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.07	11	40%	0.05	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.02
Lucious Harris	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	11	57%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	7	60%	0.03	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Brandon Armstrong	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	12	52%	0.00	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.04
Steve Goodrich	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	18	44%	-0.07	1	-0.01	5	80%	-0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elden Campbell	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	-0.00	-0.03	12	70%	0.11	3	-0.04	13	92%	0.03
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.04	2	75%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	10	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	7	39%	-0.04	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	4	30%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
David Wesley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.15	-0.02	-0.04	11	21%	-0.10	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.05	-0.05	0.08	19	51%	-0.09	4	-0.09	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.5	24.3	14.7	31.2	2.3	28.6	126.2
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +34.9%

NJN +7.9%

CHH -9.7%

NJN +16.0%

NJN +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHH	NBA	NJN	CHH	NBA
this game	16.7	17.6	15.6	103.5	97.6	102.3
season	14.7	15.9		101.4	102.2
opponent	15.6	16.0		101.1	98.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.7	18.3	14.0	18.9	16.7
CHH	17.1	16.8	21.3	15.4	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	74	70	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.13	18	-9	27	15.6	23.2	-7.53	17.8	16.4	1.41
Kerry Kittles	63	59	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.25	11	-2	13	16.6	16.8	-0.19	17.5	17.8	-0.28
Richard Jefferson	71	67	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.12	13	-4	17	16.5	17.6	-1.11	18.4	14.2	4.19
Aaron Williams	45	44	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.21	5	4	1	17.7	15.6	2.15	17.9	17.3	0.57
Jason Kidd	66	62	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	6	-3	16.7	16.6	0.11	17.2	18.9	-1.69
Lucious Harris	60	60	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.19	2	7	-5	17.1	15.7	1.42	17.2	18.9	-1.70
Todd MacCulloch	40	37	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	8	-7	15.9	17.4	-1.52	17.4	17.8	-0.49
Brandon Armstrong	6	5	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	13	-17	18.8	16.5	2.31	15.6	17.8	-2.15
Steve Goodrich	5	6	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	13	-17	24.8	16.2	8.61	17.7	17.6	0.05

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bullard	13	13	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.03	4	-13	17	15.6	18.0	-2.38	19.8	16.1	3.63
Elden Campbell	62	64	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-15	21	16.5	21.0	-4.53	17.5	14.3	3.18
Baron Davis	68	71	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.28	5	-14	19	17.0	20.9	-3.90	17.4	13.4	3.98
Lee Nailon	18	18	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	-2	-5	18.7	17.3	1.41	17.3	16.5	0.82
Bryce Drew	33	34	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.14	-4	-5	1	16.8	18.1	-1.29	18.2	15.7	2.56
Stacey Augmon	64	68	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-7	5	17.3	18.7	-1.41	16.5	17.3	-0.82
Jamaal Magloire	24	26	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.11	-13	4	-17	20.4	16.5	3.95	14.8	17.5	-2.75
Robert Traylor	51	54	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.03	-18	9	-27	19.1	15.1	4.01	14.9	19.8	-4.93
David Wesley	77	82	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.18	-16	7	-23	17.9	13.4	4.50	16.1	28.0	-11.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.22,0.27,0.33,0.21,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 109, MEM 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0	94.3%
GSW 130, ORL 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.19,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%
CLE 89, BOS 77	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.52,0.42,0.29,0.24,0.15,0.29,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%