NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	109		Excitement	5.5 [729]		MVP	Mike Conley (MEM): +17.8%
Memphis Grizzlies	100		Comeback	2.0 [142]		LVP	PJ Hairston (MEM): -9.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.04	-0.01	11	73%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.01	11	75%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Devin Booker	0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.05	0.01	17	66%	0.21	3	-0.07	7	100%	0.04
Jon Leuer	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Price	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	9	61%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Phil Pressey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Jenkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	4	60%	0.04	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Alex Len	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	12	51%	0.07	3	-0.09	13	69%	-0.00
Archie Goodwin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.05

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.05	0.01	13	69%	0.21	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	7	71%	0.11	1	-0.02	10	70%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.01	0.02	11	71%	0.07	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	13	45%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	11	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Jarell Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	10	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.03	5	42%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
PJ Hairston	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.7	33.1	15.6	24.3	1.8	33.0	133.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +57.4%

PHX +1.8%

PHX +6.2%

MEM -15.6%

PHX +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MEM	NBA	PHX	MEM	NBA
this game	15.5	15.6	14.9	117.2	108.7	105.1
season	14.4	15.7		100.9	103.4
opponent	14.8	14.4		106.7	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.4	13.5	14.9	19.0	15.5
MEM	17.4	13.7	16.4	15.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
PJ Tucker	57	56	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.06	17	-8	25	16.2	14.4	1.77	16.6	14.1	2.46
Ronnie Price	67	68	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.25	9	0	9	16.0	14.3	1.64	16.1	14.3	1.78
Devin Booker	81	80	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.22	9	0	9	15.8	13.7	2.14	16.1	12.2	3.86
Tyson Chandler	60	60	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.11	12	-3	15	15.6	15.3	0.30	16.8	13.3	3.52
Alex Len	65	65	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.13	4	5	-1	15.5	15.6	-0.06	16.1	14.3	1.81
Jon Leuer	24	23	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	7	-5	15.5	15.5	-0.04	14.3	16.0	-1.74
Phil Pressey	10	10	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	7	-5	11.7	16.0	-4.29	16.1	15.5	0.55
Mirza Teletovic	42	41	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	13	-17	15.5	15.6	-0.09	13.4	17.4	-3.91
Archie Goodwin	43	42	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.16	-5	14	-19	14.6	16.3	-1.72	13.9	17.0	-3.09
John Jenkins	16	15	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	10	-11	14.5	15.7	-1.24	12.3	16.2	-3.91

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Andersen	18	17	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.01	2	-11	13	16.8	15.3	1.52	13.5	16.0	-2.52
JaMychal Green	47	49	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-12	15	13.6	17.7	-4.03	15.9	15.2	0.70
Jarell Martin	13	14	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-8	7	13.8	15.9	-2.05	16.3	15.4	0.89
Mario Chalmers	54	55	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-10	11	14.9	16.7	-1.79	16.3	14.4	1.83
Vince Carter	47	47	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-7	5	14.0	17.2	-3.20	15.4	15.7	-0.25
Matt Barnes	64	65	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.26	1	-10	11	15.5	15.9	-0.41	15.5	15.6	-0.11
PJ Hairston	36	36	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	-1	-7	18.0	14.1	3.93	14.5	16.2	-1.63
Mike Conley	57	57	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-3	-3	16.1	14.9	1.21	15.2	16.0	-0.82
Lance Stephenson	44	46	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-2	-5	14.9	16.3	-1.43	16.5	14.6	1.88
Zach Randolph	58	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.15	-9	0	-9	16.8	13.5	3.34	15.5	15.6	-0.09
Ryan Hollins	22	22	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	0.00	-19	10	-29	18.5	14.7	3.80	15.0	15.7	-0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 89, CHH 80	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.22,0.27,0.33,0.21,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
MEM 112, DET 84	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.08,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%
UTA 113, ORL 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.28,0.24,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%