inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 112 Excitement5.1 [816] MVPJon Leuer (MEM): +8.0%
Detroit Pistons 84 Comeback2.2 [366] LVPBrandon Jennings (DET): -21.8%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jon Leuer0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.140.010.061372%0.111-0.03683%0.01
Mike Conley0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.011454%0.072-0.0500%0.00
Ed Davis0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.060.030.061163%0.083-0.06560%0.00
Mike Miller0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.00-0.00360%0.0200.004100%0.02
Tayshaun Prince0.010,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.06-0.020.031162%0.051-0.032100%0.01
Jerryd Bayless0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.06-0.010.04762%0.0100.002100%0.01
Seth Curry0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nick Calathes-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.03333%-0.0110.0000%0.00
James Johnson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Kosta Koufos-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.01-0.011036%-0.021-0.022100%0.00
Zach Randolph-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.020.011843%-0.011-0.0410%-0.01

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.110.000.04887%0.0710.0000%0.00
Gigi Datome0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jonas Jerebko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02260%0.0000.001100%0.00
Kyle Singler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.01-0.00370%0.052-0.05450%-0.01
Greg Monroe0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.02-0.020.021749%-0.001-0.03560%-0.01
Josh Harrellson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Andre Drummond0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.02-0.020.031054%0.001-0.03837%-0.06
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.00250%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Will Bynum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.09-0.00-0.061132%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Josh Smith0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.021736%-0.0500.00250%-0.01
Brandon Jennings0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.19-0.06-0.031414%-0.162-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.11.831.117.422.11.829.0127.4
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +23.2%
MEM +13.0%
MEM +11.4%
MEM +0.0%
MEM +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMDETNBAMEMDETNBA
this game16.714.515.1121.790.3105.2
season16.415.0104.5104.7
opponent15.015.2108.4103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM14.517.716.718.016.7
DET14.313.716.014.114.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Zach Randolph64650.430.070.370.021414016.317.4-1.0114.813.71.17
Jerryd Bayless47470.420.080.34-0.222261617.415.91.4915.813.22.61
Mike Conley64620.420.080.340.011414016.417.1-0.7114.514.40.16
Tayshaun Prince63630.400.100.300.021315-216.117.9-1.8214.614.30.24
Ed Davis31340.300.200.09-0.412442016.816.60.1813.914.8-0.87
Kosta Koufos48460.250.25-0.00-0.051018-816.716.50.2015.113.91.22
James Johnson29300.100.40-0.30-0.341513217.916.11.8214.314.6-0.24
Nick Calathes28310.080.42-0.34-0.331414017.116.40.7114.414.5-0.16
Mike Miller37380.080.42-0.340.08028-2815.217.6-2.4513.515.2-1.64
Jon Leuer41410.020.48-0.46-0.21820-1216.916.40.5013.715.1-1.41
Seth Curry880.000.50-0.50-0.18622-1619.116.42.7111.514.8-3.28

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gigi Datome1090.00-0.500.500.09-3-252212.414.7-2.3521.416.15.31
Andre Drummond7171-0.01-0.490.490.02-1-272614.414.9-0.5416.118.4-2.30
Greg Monroe6768-0.10-0.400.300.13-8-201214.713.80.9016.716.50.26
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope5454-0.14-0.360.230.13-9-191013.415.9-2.5016.217.3-1.04
Josh Harrellson1210-0.19-0.310.130.31-17-11-614.014.6-0.5715.916.7-0.84
Will Bynum4138-0.22-0.280.070.28-17-11-614.414.6-0.1917.616.01.53
Brandon Jennings6767-0.24-0.260.010.17-14-14015.112.82.2916.716.60.13
Jonas Jerebko2220-0.34-0.16-0.170.04-13-15214.514.5-0.0519.116.03.13
Kyle Singler2729-0.35-0.15-0.190.21-19-9-1014.614.40.1915.517.2-1.71
Josh Smith6868-0.38-0.12-0.250.15-18-10-814.714.00.7316.118.2-2.05
Chauncey Billups2626-0.550.05-0.600.07-21-7-1415.314.21.1316.816.60.27


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.08,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 107, DEN 970.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.55,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.25,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.13,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,094.6%
UTA 113, ORL 940.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.28,0.24,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.3%
PHX 109, MEM 1000.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,094.2%