inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 120 Excitement9.0 [142] MVPSpencer Hawes (CHA): +36.8%
Orlando Magic 116 Comeback148.2 [2] LVPElfrid Payton (ORL): -17.9%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Spencer Hawes0.370,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.04,0.370.050.32-0.001455%0.451-0.081100%0.00
Brian Roberts0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.080.050.02592%0.1110.012100%0.01
Kemba Walker0.110,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.24,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.110.140.010.052859%0.452-0.341283%0.06
PJ Hairston0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.02-0.00570%0.0700.0000%0.00
Tyler Hansbrough0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.01-0.02743%0.0200.0000%0.00
Frank Kaminsky-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.00-0.07928%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Troy Daniels-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,00.05-0.020.041557%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jeremy Lamb-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jeremy Lin-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.00650%0.023-0.082100%0.01
Marvin Williams-0.120,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.02-0.060.031141%-0.101-0.025100%0.02

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Victor Oladipo0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.290.290.130.160.001972%0.444-0.152100%0.01
Aaron Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.20.200.060.13-0.01491%0.212-0.01333%-0.02
Channing Frye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.02-0.00283%0.0700.002100%0.01
Tobias Harris0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.12-0.060.031467%0.081-0.04580%0.01
Shabazz Napier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.012125%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Jason Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.00-0.04536%0.021-0.0110%-0.01
Andrew Nicholson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mario Hezonja0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Nikola Vucevic0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.10-0.10-0.051741%-0.074-0.083100%0.02
Evan Fournier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.15,-0.16-0.160.01-0.19-0.021450%-0.111-0.042100%0.01
Elfrid Payton0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.03,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.10-0.12-0.041438%-0.044-0.141100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.32.726.616.625.22.535.42.416.3153.0
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.52.217.3136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +40.4%
ORL -1.2%
CHA +11.5%
ORL -4.0%
CHA +3.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHAORLNBACHAORLNBA
this game15.614.314.9112.1109.4105.1
season15.114.6105.5103.6
opponent14.914.8105.2103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
CHA17.516.718.211.913.115.6
ORL13.814.713.115.414.114.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Spencer Hawes68691.13-0.631.750.8011-71814.916.8-1.9813.715.4-1.71
Brian Roberts50480.91-0.411.310.4416-122813.717.3-3.5815.513.22.30
Troy Daniels67670.90-0.401.300.3120-163614.317.8-3.5714.513.90.62
Marvin Williams70690.58-0.080.670.5804-415.316.1-0.7913.914.9-0.96
Kemba Walker95950.55-0.050.610.357-31015.318.2-3.0013.917.3-3.36
Jeremy Lamb77-0.110.61-0.720.04-59-1417.915.42.4316.014.11.86
Frank Kaminsky5049-0.170.67-0.84-0.2631216.714.62.0915.413.32.09
Tyler Hansbrough3433-0.200.69-0.89-0.08-48-1217.114.92.2415.113.91.24
Jeremy Lin5757-0.340.84-1.18-0.02-1115-2617.713.24.4814.114.5-0.46
PJ Hairston3736-0.751.25-2.01-0.26-1721-3816.715.01.7412.615.1-2.59

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shabazz Napier27290.60-1.101.700.349-132214.914.10.7916.015.40.61
Channing Frye22230.20-0.700.89-0.079-132215.414.01.4417.515.12.41
Jason Smith25260.17-0.670.850.035-91416.313.62.6416.815.21.66
Mario Hezonja11120.14-0.640.77-0.046-101617.213.93.2618.015.32.72
Aaron Gordon47500.07-0.570.640.041-5614.414.20.2116.115.11.03
Andrew Nicholson109-0.03-0.470.440.06-3-1-215.814.11.7016.015.60.45
Elfrid Payton7270-0.620.12-0.75-0.27-128-2014.314.10.2615.715.50.20
Victor Oladipo8989-0.620.12-0.75-0.48-51-613.418.8-5.4315.416.7-1.30
Tobias Harris8382-0.650.15-0.80-0.47-62-813.218.2-5.0515.017.4-2.31
Evan Fournier6566-0.800.30-1.09-0.33-1612-2815.013.11.9414.417.6-3.20
Nikola Vucevic7979-0.960.46-1.41-0.72-84-1213.915.4-1.5315.515.9-0.46


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.93,0.85,0.85,0.5,0.25,0.15,0.33,0.07,0
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 96, CLE 930.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.84,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.46,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.08,094.1%
CHI 126, MIL 1210.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.59,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.73,0.46,0.39,0.11,0.1,0.05,092.5%
MIN 105, DEN 970.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.97,0.91,0.46,0.55,0.29,0.11,0.01,090.5%