inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 105 Excitement7.3 [360] MVPKevin Garnett (MIN): +27.6%
Denver Nuggets 97 Comeback499.0 [3] LVPChris Gatling (DEN): -16.8%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Garnett0.280,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,0.29,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.28,0.28-0.050.340.012251%0.382-0.101567%-0.01
Bobby Jackson0.090,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.040.070.021457%0.0900.00786%0.03
Sam Mitchell-0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.00743%-0.0000.0000%0.00
William Avery-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.000.000.01659%0.011-0.015100%0.02
Anthony Peeler-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.03-0.010.041065%0.012-0.03683%-0.01
Tom Hammonds-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.0210%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Wally Szczerbiak-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.050.03-0.040.04767%-0.021-0.03475%-0.03
Malik Sealy-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.00640%-0.061-0.02875%-0.00
Rasho Nesterovic-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.12-0.00-0.0280%-0.1100.0000%0.00
Joe Smith-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.13-0.03-0.01711%-0.1500.00450%-0.04

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bryant Stith0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0,00.00-0.040.04-0.00356%0.042-0.043100%0.01
James Posey0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,00.000.04-0.030.001561%0.022-0.028100%0.03
Roy Rogers00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Popeye Jones00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Antonio McDyess0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.080.01-0.052143%-0.012-0.01450%-0.02
Cory Alexander0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.140.06-0.04942%0.014-0.05850%0.03
Raef LaFrentz0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00950%-0.012-0.05837%-0.05
Keon Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.05-0.01329%-0.0700.0010%-0.01
Tariq Abdul-Wahad0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.100.00-0.02631%-0.042-0.04475%-0.00
George McCloud0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.01550%-0.053-0.061080%-0.01
Chris Gatling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.10-0.10-0.041331%-0.082-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game29.01.524.415.426.62.446.31.813.6161.0
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.71.718.2137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +32.6%
MIN +9.3%
DEN -19.5%
MIN +13.7%
MIN +13.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINDENNBAMINDENNBA
this game14.915.115.298.192.4101.7
season15.114.8103.5101.5
opponent15.015.7103.7101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIN17.316.713.614.211.114.9
DEN16.212.115.216.516.215.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wally Szczerbiak63600.97-0.471.450.1528-204813.616.9-3.3415.314.70.68
Anthony Peeler69670.65-0.150.790.2713-51814.415.9-1.4314.915.4-0.49
Bobby Jackson75750.58-0.080.650.4644014.915.2-0.3014.516.4-1.83
Kevin Garnett85860.460.040.410.4026-415.214.01.1915.114.90.13
Joe Smith63600.190.31-0.12-0.1612-41614.715.2-0.5215.614.31.31
Rasho Nesterovic42430.160.34-0.190.1608-815.014.90.1314.615.4-0.85
Malik Sealy43440.090.41-0.310.30-715-2216.114.21.9614.715.3-0.61
Tom Hammonds14110.040.46-0.43-0.0844013.515.2-1.6617.214.82.37
William Avery3230-0.080.58-0.65-0.1944015.214.90.3016.414.51.83
Sam Mitchell4949-0.551.05-1.600.04-2028-4816.613.63.0414.515.6-1.06

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antonio McDyess65650.42-0.921.350.0712-203215.115.00.0915.514.01.48
Cory Alexander70710.34-0.841.17-0.1015-233814.615.9-1.3315.713.42.26
Raef LaFrentz62640.25-0.750.990.33-3-5215.214.90.3316.712.34.38
Roy Rogers33-0.01-0.490.48-0.010-8811.315.2-3.8313.015.0-2.00
Popeye Jones33-0.04-0.460.430.02-2-6425.014.810.247.015.2-8.17
Tariq Abdul-Wahad4748-0.16-0.340.18-0.10-2-6413.816.1-2.3415.414.60.74
James Posey8081-0.25-0.250.000.02-91-1015.114.80.2914.715.7-0.94
Chris Gatling4750-0.620.12-0.73-0.15-168-2415.914.41.5112.816.8-3.95
Keon Clark2929-0.710.21-0.93-0.57-5-3-213.215.8-2.6014.415.1-0.73
George McCloud5962-0.830.33-1.15-0.30-1810-2815.614.41.1814.216.0-1.82
Bryant Stith6059-0.900.40-1.30-0.55-124-1615.714.11.6214.815.1-0.29


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.97,0.91,0.46,0.55,0.29,0.11,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 96, CLE 930.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.84,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.46,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.08,090.8%
CHA 120, ORL 1160.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.93,0.85,0.85,0.5,0.25,0.15,0.33,0.07,090.5%
NYK 113, PHI 1070.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.46,0.61,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.96,0.85,0.84,0.93,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.22,0.42,090.5%