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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 126 Excitement9.4 [112] MVPBen Gordon (CHI): +43.6%
Milwaukee Bucks 121 Comeback96.1 [12] LVPMo Williams (MIL): -41.2%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ben Gordon0.440,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.15,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.440.230.240.043268%0.574-0.13786%0.02
Luol Deng0.200,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.160.070.021673%0.232-0.035100%0.02
Adrian Griffin0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.130.010.130.00560%0.171-0.0300%0.00
Kirk Hinrich0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.030.010.050.031564%0.186-0.15683%0.02
Ben Wallace-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.00-0.00337%-0.0200.00250%-0.02
P.J. Brown-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.01350%-0.001-0.032100%0.01
Tyrus Thomas-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.01550%0.023-0.08425%-0.04
Malik Allen-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.120.00-0.120.00250%-0.1200.00250%-0.02
Chris Duhon-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.06-0.080.01736%-0.112-0.0300%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ruben Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.290.290.050.250.01965%0.342-0.05862%-0.21
Charlie Villanueva0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.020.00965%0.101-0.022100%0.01
Andrew Bogut0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.020.05-0.001050%0.082-0.05650%-0.04
Brian Skinner0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Lynn Greer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
David Noel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Michael Redd0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.31,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.15,-0.1,-0.07-0.070.30-0.340.033271%0.134-0.21989%0.02
Charlie Bell0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12-0.12-0.05-0.08-0.011233%-0.1200.0000%0.00
Mo Williams0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.41-0.41-0.20-0.25-0.041937%-0.117-0.3000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.42.427.415.728.82.538.52.417.3160.4
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.01.917.4141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +63.1%
MIL -15.8%
MIL -22.9%
CHI +21.6%
CHI +4.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIMILNBACHIMILNBA
this game13.315.615.4114.5110.0104.5
season14.515.2103.1105.3
opponent15.515.9109.998.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
CHI12.216.312.513.012.413.3
MIL15.015.713.717.817.615.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Adrian Griffin42451.16-0.661.820.4026-214713.613.10.5417.714.23.42
Ben Gordon97980.68-0.180.850.1219-143312.816.8-4.0616.012.73.34
Ben Wallace85820.67-0.170.840.73-27-912.914.5-1.6315.316.8-1.53
Luol Deng1001010.420.080.340.4205-513.610.33.2615.517.0-1.48
Kirk Hinrich86830.380.120.250.64-914-2313.213.6-0.4115.117.2-2.09
Malik Allen15170.120.38-0.26-0.4419-143312.113.4-1.3119.614.94.66
Chris Duhon4039-0.190.69-0.88-0.1905-513.313.20.1415.315.8-0.52
Tyrus Thomas5150-0.250.75-1.000.04-1015-2513.513.10.4214.716.4-1.66
P.J. Brown3435-0.480.98-1.470.04-1823-4114.612.71.8714.316.3-2.04

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brian Skinner54520.36-0.861.22-0.0213-183114.017.2-3.2013.912.71.25
Charlie Villanueva56560.07-0.570.640.16-3-2-115.216.1-0.8814.212.31.97
Lynn Greer890.03-0.530.560.06-1-4312.015.9-3.9315.713.02.62
David Noel66-0.16-0.340.190.08-83-1113.515.8-2.2714.213.20.96
Mo Williams102102-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.504-91315.616.4-0.7913.213.9-0.66
Andrew Bogut8991-0.530.03-0.57-0.30-83-1116.014.11.8612.914.9-2.04
Ruben Patterson8180-0.590.09-0.67-0.47-4-1-315.815.20.6412.914.2-1.29
Charlie Bell6263-0.640.14-0.77-0.46-61-717.213.63.6213.512.90.61
Michael Redd9291-0.660.16-0.83-0.31-127-1915.814.71.1012.516.8-4.26


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.59,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.73,0.46,0.39,0.11,0.1,0.05,0
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 126, SAC 1230.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.64,0.6,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.86,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.1,0.05,0.07,092.5%
CHA 120, ORL 1160.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.93,0.85,0.85,0.5,0.25,0.15,0.33,0.07,092.5%
POR 106, LAC 960.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.84,0.9,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.71,0.84,0.58,0.46,0.31,0.21,0.02,0,092.3%