NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	106		Excitement	8.8 [90]		MVP	Brian Grant (POR): +17.6%
Los Angeles Clippers	96		Comeback	30.4 [69]		LVP	Darrick Martin (LAC): -39.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Grant	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.04	0.15	0.01	12	68%	0.22	2	-0.05	13	100%	0.17
Rasheed Wallace	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.04	0.08	-0.00	12	52%	0.13	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.06
Greg Anthony	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.02	5	87%	0.07	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.03
Jim Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.08,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.11	-0.08	0.02	12	70%	0.02	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Kelvin Cato	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Stacey Augmon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	2	71%	-0.02	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	5	-0.12	6	50%	0.01
Walt Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	10	30%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	8	17%	-0.12	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	-0.02	0.17	-0.00	5	62%	0.23	2	-0.08	6	100%	0.23
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	0.02	0.07	9	78%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	87%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Smith	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.13	-0.05	16	55%	0.03	3	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.07	-0.11	0.01	18	41%	-0.15	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.08	-0.14	0.00	10	36%	-0.13	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.33,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.00	20	33%	-0.20	1	-0.19	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.0	2.0	24.3	15.6	24.0	2.0	44.5	0.8	16.0	154.3
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	1.7	18.8	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +37.3%

POR +8.6%

LAC -22.4%

POR +22.9%

POR +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAC	NBA	POR	LAC	NBA
this game	14.3	17.5	15.8	105.0	97.0	99.6
season	16.0	16.7		102.0	97.5
opponent	14.7	15.9		107.0	96.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
POR	15.1	14.3	17.0	10.6	14.5	14.3
LAC	13.7	18.5	15.7	24.9	14.1	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arvydas Sabonis	57	55	0.78	-0.29	1.08	0.61	6	4	2	14.1	14.6	-0.51	17.7	17.2	0.42
Stacey Augmon	63	63	0.75	-0.26	1.01	0.11	22	-12	34	13.9	15.1	-1.13	18.6	15.5	3.08
Rasheed Wallace	48	44	0.74	-0.25	0.99	0.18	19	-9	28	14.4	14.3	0.05	19.4	15.9	3.46
Jim Jackson	64	64	0.65	-0.16	0.82	-0.17	28	-18	46	14.0	15.0	-1.03	19.5	13.8	5.70
Brian Grant	73	71	0.65	-0.16	0.81	0.12	18	-8	26	14.6	13.7	0.83	17.3	17.9	-0.62
Greg Anthony	42	41	0.22	0.27	-0.05	-0.07	10	0	10	13.5	14.9	-1.37	18.2	16.9	1.30
Damon Stoudamire	60	60	-0.04	0.53	-0.58	-0.01	-1	11	-12	14.7	13.9	0.79	16.6	18.8	-2.20
Kelvin Cato	17	17	-0.14	0.63	-0.77	0.10	-8	18	-26	14.3	14.4	-0.06	18.6	17.2	1.40
Jermaine O'Neal	11	12	-0.17	0.66	-0.83	0.07	-8	18	-26	13.5	14.5	-1.00	13.5	18.0	-4.53
Walt Williams	35	33	-0.46	0.95	-1.41	0.01	-16	26	-42	15.0	14.0	1.00	14.3	19.1	-4.73
Isaiah Rider	35	35	-0.53	1.02	-1.55	0.06	-20	30	-50	15.7	13.6	2.09	13.8	19.5	-5.70

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Smith	41	43	0.50	-0.99	1.49	0.09	14	-24	38	15.5	18.9	-3.41	14.9	13.9	1.02
Eric Piatkowski	43	41	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.33	-8	-2	-6	16.7	18.1	-1.39	14.7	14.1	0.53
Maurice Taylor	65	65	0.09	-0.58	0.67	-0.09	6	-16	22	17.8	16.8	1.01	13.6	15.7	-2.18
Tyrone Nesby	48	53	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.24	6	-16	22	16.9	18.1	-1.22	13.8	14.9	-1.09
Michael Olowokandi	26	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.18	-11	1	-12	18.6	17.1	1.48	16.5	13.6	2.96
Darrick Martin	77	80	-0.24	-0.25	0.01	-0.36	4	-14	18	17.5	17.4	0.16	13.9	16.1	-2.21
Pooh Richardson	22	21	-0.25	-0.24	-0.01	0.16	-14	4	-18	17.4	17.5	-0.16	16.1	13.9	2.21
Lorenzen Wright	71	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	-8	6	17.1	18.4	-1.32	14.1	15.0	-0.93
Rodney Rogers	31	31	-0.68	0.19	-0.87	-0.33	-12	2	-14	20.1	16.3	3.85	15.0	14.0	0.99
Lamond Murray	61	62	-0.89	0.40	-1.29	-0.22	-23	13	-36	18.7	15.6	3.14	14.0	14.9	-0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.84,0.9,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.71,0.84,0.58,0.46,0.31,0.21,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 126, MIL 121	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.59,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.73,0.46,0.39,0.11,0.1,0.05,0	92.3%
CLE 126, SAC 123	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.64,0.6,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.86,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.1,0.05,0.07,0	91.0%
CHA 120, ORL 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.93,0.85,0.85,0.5,0.25,0.15,0.33,0.07,0	89.6%