NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	126		Excitement	8.9 [140]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +40.5%
Sacramento Kings	123		Comeback	28.3 [84]		LVP	Donte Greene (SAC): -18.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.41	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.18,0.18,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41	0.30	0.13	0.02	30	66%	0.50	3	-0.09	17	88%	-0.02
Anderson Varejao	0.15	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.04	0.00	8	86%	0.20	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.03
Sasha Pavlovic	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	-0.05	0.13	-0.03	10	36%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Tarence Kinsey	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.00	3	117%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.00	6	75%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	9	43%	-0.02	2	-0.08	3	33%	-0.03
Mo Williams	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.14	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	14	31%	-0.11	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.06

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Will Solomon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09	0.09	0.15	-0.05	0.01	9	90%	0.18	1	-0.09	2	50%	-0.03
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	12	59%	0.07	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Kevin Martin	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.04	-0.02	21	61%	0.18	4	-0.12	14	93%	0.11
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.02	9	60%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.12	-0.11	0.01	11	73%	0.18	2	-0.18	4	75%	-0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	8	31%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.09	-0.01	9	61%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.6	2.6	30.3	15.5	28.8	2.0	37.1	1.6	16.0	159.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	2.0	41.4	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +11.5%

CLE +23.2%

SAC -13.1%

CLE +35.8%

SAC -7.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	SAC	NBA	CLE	SAC	NBA
this game	16.8	15.2	15.5	126.0	124.2	106.4
season	16.9	15.0		110.6	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.2		112.7	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CLE	17.3	16.8	17.8	13.5	21.6	16.8
SAC	12.7	14.5	14.3	18.6	18.1	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wally Szczerbiak	49	50	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.24	14	-11	25	16.2	17.3	-1.07	15.3	15.0	0.36
LeBron James	89	88	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.38	6	-3	9	16.6	18.1	-1.46	15.2	15.0	0.18
Daniel Gibson	60	61	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.20	24	-21	45	15.1	19.3	-4.18	15.5	14.6	0.99
Anderson Varejao	74	73	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.52	-1	4	-5	17.2	15.5	1.74	15.5	14.3	1.21
Joe Smith	44	39	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.29	5	-2	7	16.9	16.7	0.13	15.2	15.2	-0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	60	61	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	-9	21	15.6	18.5	-2.89	15.5	14.6	0.95
Mo Williams	70	69	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.69	-16	19	-35	17.9	14.2	3.65	15.3	14.9	0.33
Tarence Kinsey	17	15	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.04	-4	7	-11	18.5	16.4	2.02	13.0	15.5	-2.55
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	37	39	-0.52	1.02	-1.54	0.22	-25	28	-53	18.6	15.7	2.95	13.8	16.0	-2.26

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Thompson	59	60	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.63	27	-30	57	14.4	16.2	-1.83	18.4	14.3	4.11
Bobby Jackson	54	52	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.10	6	-9	15	14.8	15.6	-0.76	16.5	17.1	-0.64
Rashad McCants	23	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.05	-2	-1	-1	15.9	14.9	0.98	15.7	17.1	-1.42
Francisco Garcia	42	44	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.25	-12	9	-21	16.0	14.5	1.50	16.0	17.4	-1.49
Andres Nocioni	76	77	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.50	9	-12	21	14.8	16.4	-1.66	17.1	15.7	1.36
Will Solomon	42	45	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.33	-5	2	-7	15.6	14.8	0.75	17.3	16.4	0.91
Kevin Martin	82	82	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	-1	-1	15.0	16.2	-1.23	16.8	16.6	0.22
Donte Greene	39	37	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.01	-20	17	-37	14.7	15.4	-0.69	15.5	17.6	-2.07
Spencer Hawes	78	79	-0.83	0.33	-1.15	-0.36	-16	13	-29	15.8	12.6	3.23	16.5	17.8	-1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.64,0.6,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.86,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.1,0.05,0.07,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 126, MIL 121	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.59,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.73,0.46,0.39,0.11,0.1,0.05,0	92.5%
POR 106, LAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.84,0.9,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.71,0.84,0.58,0.46,0.31,0.21,0.02,0,0	91.0%
NYK 112, ATL 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.83,0.91,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.23,0.01,0	89.9%